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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Summersville, located in Missouri, presents an intriguing case study in property crime trends. From 2010 to 2020, the city experienced a significant decline in total property crimes, dropping from 21 incidents in 2010 to zero reported cases in 2020, marking a 100% decrease. This dramatic reduction occurred against a backdrop of population fluctuation, with the city's population decreasing from 1,648 in 2010 to 1,149.5 in 2020, a 30.2% decline.
Burglary rates in the city have shown a notable downward trend over the years. In 2010, there were 14 burglaries reported, which equated to 8.5 incidents per 1,000 people. This number steadily decreased to zero reported burglaries in 2020. The city's contribution to state-wide burglary statistics also diminished, from 0.04% in 2010 to 0% in 2020. This reduction in burglaries, even as the population declined, suggests an improvement in local security measures or community vigilance.
Larceny-theft incidents have fluctuated but generally trended downward. In 2010, there were 7 reported cases, or 4.2 per 1,000 residents. The number peaked at 12 incidents in 2014 (6.7 per 1,000 residents) before declining to zero in 2020. The city's share of state-wide larceny-theft remained consistently low, never exceeding 0.01% during this period. This trend indicates a positive shift in property protection or a decrease in opportunistic theft within the community.
Motor vehicle theft in the city has been sporadic and relatively low. The highest number of incidents was recorded in 2013 and 2014, with 2 cases each year, representing 1.2 and 1.1 thefts per 1,000 residents, respectively. By 2020, no motor vehicle thefts were reported. The city's contribution to state-wide motor vehicle theft statistics remained minimal, peaking at 0.01% in 2013-2015. This low and decreasing trend suggests effective deterrence or limited opportunities for this type of crime in the area.
Arson cases in Summersville have been rare, with only one incident reported in 2010, accounting for 0.1% of the state's arson cases that year. Since then, no arson cases have been reported, indicating either successful prevention efforts or a lack of this specific criminal activity in the community.
A strong correlation exists between the decline in property crimes and the city's changing demographics. As the population density decreased from 1,486 per square mile in 2010 to 1,036 in 2020, property crimes also declined. Additionally, the percentage of owner-occupied housing increased from 74% in 2013 to 79% in 2020, potentially contributing to greater community stability and reduced crime rates.
Applying predictive models based on these trends, it's projected that property crime rates in Summersville will likely remain very low or at zero for the next five years, extending to 2029. The city's small population, high rate of home ownership, and recent history of minimal crime suggest a continuation of this positive trend.
In conclusion, Summersville has demonstrated a remarkable improvement in property crime statistics over the past decade. The consistent decrease across all categories of property crime, coupled with demographic shifts, paints a picture of a community that has effectively addressed safety concerns. As the city moves forward, maintaining these low crime rates will be crucial for sustaining the quality of life and attractiveness of Summersville to current and potential residents.