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Property Crime Trends in Sturgeon, Missouri: A Small Community's Safety Profile
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Sturgeon, Missouri, a small community with a population of 1,164 as of 2022, has experienced notable fluctuations in property crime rates over the years. From 2011 to 2017, the total number of property crimes increased from 0 to 1, representing a 100% increase. During this same period, the population grew from 847 to 884, an increase of 4.4%.
Burglary trends in the city show a sporadic pattern. In 2013, there was one reported burglary, which then dropped to zero in subsequent years until 2015, when it rose to two incidents. This translates to a burglary rate of 1.12 per 1,000 residents in 2013 and 2.34 per 1,000 in 2015. The percentage of state burglaries attributable to the city remained minimal, with only 0.01% in 2015. These figures suggest that while burglary is not a consistent problem, it does occur occasionally, potentially impacting the sense of security in this small community.
Larceny theft in the city shows a more consistent presence. The first reported incident was in 2014, with one case, which increased to three cases by 2016. This represents a 200% increase over two years. The larceny theft rate per 1,000 residents rose from 1.16 in 2014 to 3.50 in 2016. Despite this increase, the city's contribution to state larceny theft statistics remained at 0%, indicating that these incidents, while significant locally, had minimal impact on statewide figures.
Motor vehicle theft data for Sturgeon shows no reported incidents from 2011 to 2017. This absence of motor vehicle thefts is notable, especially considering the presence of other property crimes. It suggests that the city may have effective prevention measures in place or that the small, close-knit nature of the community serves as a deterrent to this type of crime.
Arson incidents in the city were rare, with only one reported case in 2014. This single incident represented 0.12% of the state's arson cases for that year. The arson rate for 2014 was 1.16 per 1,000 residents. The isolated nature of this incident suggests it was an anomaly rather than part of a broader trend.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and other factors reveals some interesting patterns. There appears to be a moderate inverse relationship between property crime rates and home ownership percentages. As the percentage of owner-occupied homes decreased from 76% in 2013 to 66% in 2017, property crime incidents increased. This could suggest that higher rates of homeownership may contribute to community stability and reduced property crime.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a potential slight increase in overall property crime rates. Based on the historical data and current trends, the model predicts that by 2029, Sturgeon may experience an average of 2-3 property crime incidents per year, with larceny theft likely remaining the most common type of property crime.
In summary, Sturgeon has experienced relatively low levels of property crime, with larceny theft emerging as the most consistent issue. The sporadic nature of burglaries and the absence of motor vehicle thefts highlight the generally safe character of this small Missouri community. However, the slight upward trend in overall property crime rates, coupled with declining homeownership percentages, suggests that local authorities and community members should remain vigilant in maintaining the city's safety and security in the coming years.
