Loading Content...
Property Crime Trends in Stantonsburg: A Small North Carolina Town's Significant Reduction
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Stantonsburg, located in North Carolina, presents an interesting case study in property crime trends. From 2020 to 2022, the total number of property crimes decreased by 47.37%, from 19 to 10 incidents. This significant reduction occurred while the population fluctuated, increasing by 6.39% from 1,549.5 in 2020 to 1,648 in 2022.
Burglary trends in the city show a decrease over the three-year period. In 2020, there were 3 burglaries, which decreased to 2 in 2022, representing a 33.33% reduction. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate per 1,000 people decreased from 1.94 in 2020 to 1.21 in 2022. Interestingly, the city's share of state burglaries remained relatively stable, fluctuating between 0.01% and 0.02% during this period. This suggests that while burglaries decreased locally, the trend was somewhat consistent with state-wide patterns.
Larceny-theft incidents showed a more dramatic decline. From 16 cases in 2020, the number dropped to 8 in 2022, a 50% decrease. The rate per 1,000 people fell from 10.33 to 4.85 over the same period. Despite this significant local reduction, the city's contribution to state larceny-theft incidents remained steady at 0.01% in both 2020 and 2022, indicating that the decrease was part of a broader trend across the state.
Motor vehicle theft in the city is notably low, with no reported incidents in 2020 and 2022. There was a single incident reported in 2021, which temporarily raised the city's share of state motor vehicle thefts to 0.01%. The absence of motor vehicle thefts in most years suggests effective prevention measures or possibly a reflection of the city's small size and community dynamics.
Arson incidents were consistently reported as zero from 2020 to 2022, with the city's share of state arson cases remaining at 0% throughout this period. This absence of arson cases is a positive indicator for community safety and property protection.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. As the population density decreased from 2,635 per square mile in 2020 to 2,803 in 2022, there was a corresponding decrease in overall property crime. This could suggest that lower population density might contribute to reduced property crime rates. Additionally, the median income increased substantially from $46,109.5 in 2020 to $47,592 in 2022, coinciding with the decrease in property crimes. This correlation might indicate that improved economic conditions could be a factor in reducing property crime rates.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a continued decline in overall property crime rates. Based on the current trends, we might expect to see burglary rates stabilize around 1-2 incidents per year, while larceny-theft could potentially decrease further to 5-6 incidents annually. Motor vehicle theft and arson are likely to remain at very low levels or zero, given their historical absence in the city.
In summary, Stantonsburg has experienced a significant reduction in property crimes from 2020 to 2022, particularly in burglary and larceny-theft. This positive trend, coupled with increasing median income and stable home ownership rates, paints a picture of a community that is becoming safer and more economically stable. The consistently low rates of motor vehicle theft and absence of arson further underscore the overall improvement in property safety within the city.
