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Property Crime Trends in St. Anthony, Idaho: A Decade of Significant Improvement
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
St. Anthony, Idaho, presents an intriguing case study in property crime trends over the past decade. With a population of 7,017 in 2022 and covering 1.93 square miles, this small city has experienced fluctuations in both its population and crime rates. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes decreased from 32 to 12, marking a significant 62.5% reduction. During the same period, the population grew modestly from 6,815 to 7,017, an increase of about 3%.
Burglary rates in the city have shown a notable decline over the years. In 2010, there were 2 burglaries reported, which increased to 11 in 2015, but then decreased to just 2 in 2022. This represents a 0.29 per 1,000 people rate in 2010, peaking at 1.55 per 1,000 in 2015, and returning to 0.28 per 1,000 in 2022. The city's share of state burglaries fluctuated, from 0.05% in 2010 to a high of 0.27% in 2011 and 2015, before settling at 0.10% in 2022. This downward trend suggests improved home security measures or more effective law enforcement strategies.
Larceny-theft, the most common property crime in the city, also showed a downward trend. From 28 incidents in 2010 (4.11 per 1,000 people), it peaked at 37 in 2016 (5.36 per 1,000) before dropping to 10 in 2022 (1.42 per 1,000). The city's contribution to state larceny-theft cases remained relatively stable, ranging from 0.15% to 0.22% between 2010 and 2017, before decreasing to 0.10% in 2022. This reduction could indicate enhanced community vigilance or improved retail security practices.
Motor vehicle theft in the city has been relatively low and inconsistent. From 2 incidents in 2010 (0.29 per 1,000 people), it fluctuated between 0 and 3 cases annually, with no reported thefts in 2020 and 2022. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts ranged from 0% to 0.23%, with the highest percentage in 2010. The low and decreasing numbers suggest that this type of crime is not a significant concern for the community.
Arson cases have been consistently reported as zero throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2022, indicating that this particular crime is not a prevalent issue in the city.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. The city's median income increased from $43,373 in 2013 to $53,633 in 2022, coinciding with the overall decrease in property crimes. This suggests that improved economic conditions may have contributed to reduced crime rates. Additionally, the percentage of owner-occupied housing remained relatively stable, hovering around 80% throughout the period, which could indicate a stable community less prone to property crimes.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a continued downward trajectory. Based on the current trends, we can anticipate total property crimes to potentially decrease further, possibly reaching single digits annually. Burglaries and larceny-theft are likely to remain the primary concerns, albeit at lower levels, while motor vehicle theft may continue to be sporadic or nonexistent.
In summary, St. Anthony has demonstrated a positive trend in reducing property crimes over the past decade. The significant decrease in overall property crime rates, particularly in burglaries and larceny-theft, coupled with economic improvements, paints a picture of a community becoming safer and more prosperous. These trends, if sustained, could enhance the city's appeal as a residential area and potentially attract new residents and businesses in the coming years.
