Motor vehicle theft in the city has been relatively low but showed an increase in recent years. There were no reported cases until 2019 when 1 case was recorded (0.01% of state total). This increased to 2 cases in 2020 (0.02% of state total), equating to 0.75 thefts per 1,000 residents. However, in 2021, no motor vehicle thefts were reported. This fluctuation, while small in absolute numbers, represents a significant percentage change given the city's size.

Arson incidents have remained consistently at zero throughout the reported period, from 2010 to 2021. This absence of arson cases suggests effective fire prevention measures or possibly underreporting of such incidents.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a relationship between property crime trends and median income. As median income increased from $44,851 in 2013 to $57,203 in 2021, property crimes also showed an overall upward trend, peaking in 2020 before declining in 2021. However, the correlation is not straightforward, as crime rates fluctuated despite the steady income increase.

Forecasting property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) is challenging due to the volatile nature of the data. However, based on the recent trends, we might expect property crimes to stabilize or slightly decrease, potentially ranging between 15-25 incidents annually. This prediction assumes that current socioeconomic conditions and law enforcement strategies remain relatively constant.

In summary, Springfield has experienced significant fluctuations in property crime rates, particularly in burglaries and larceny-thefts. The increase in burglaries as a percentage of state totals is particularly noteworthy. While overall crime numbers are low due to the city's small size, the per capita rates have shown concerning spikes in certain years. The relationship between rising median income and property crime trends presents an intriguing area for further exploration in the context of this small Minnesota city.