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Property Crime Trends in South Pasadena: A Decade of Fluctuations
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
South Pasadena, located in California, presents an interesting case study in property crime trends. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes fluctuated, starting at 423 in 2010 and ending at 474 in 2022, representing an overall increase of 12.06%. During this same period, the population grew from 25,390 in 2010 to 26,583 in 2022, a 4.70% increase.
Burglary rates in the city have shown significant fluctuations over the years. In 2010, there were 107 burglaries, which peaked at 170 in 2013, before declining to 91 in 2022. This represents a 14.95% decrease from 2010 to 2022. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 4.21 in 2010 to 3.42 in 2022. The city's share of state burglaries increased from 0.06% in 2010 to 0.08% in 2022, indicating that while local burglaries decreased, they did not fall as rapidly as the state average.
Larceny theft trends show a different pattern. In 2010, there were 262 incidents, which increased to a high of 536 in 2015, before decreasing to 317 in 2022. This represents a 20.99% increase from 2010 to 2022. The rate per 1,000 residents increased from 10.32 in 2010 to 11.92 in 2022. The city's share of state larceny thefts rose from 0.05% to 0.06% over this period, suggesting a slightly higher increase in larceny thefts compared to the state average.
Motor vehicle theft in the city has seen a notable increase. From 54 incidents in 2010, it rose to 66 in 2022, a 22.22% increase. The rate per 1,000 residents increased from 2.13 in 2010 to 2.48 in 2022. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts remained relatively stable, moving from 0.04% in 2010 to 0.04% in 2022, indicating that the local increase was in line with state trends.
Arson cases in the city have been relatively low but volatile. From 1 case in 2010, it peaked at 20 cases in 2013, before dropping to 0 reported cases in 2022. Due to the low numbers, the rate per 1,000 residents and the percentage of state arsons fluctuated significantly, making it difficult to draw meaningful conclusions about trends.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a relationship between property crime trends and median income. As median income increased from $94,110 in 2013 to $117,551 in 2022, total property crimes decreased from 568 to 474 during the same period. This suggests that rising incomes may have contributed to a reduction in property crimes.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends, we can estimate that by 2029 (five years from now), total property crimes in South Pasadena may decrease to around 420-450 incidents annually if current trends continue. This projection assumes a continuation of the overall decreasing trend observed in recent years, factoring in economic improvements and potential crime prevention measures.
In summary, South Pasadena has experienced varying trends across different types of property crimes from 2010 to 2022. While burglaries have decreased, larceny thefts and motor vehicle thefts have increased. The correlation between rising median incomes and decreasing overall property crimes suggests that economic factors play a role in crime rates. As the city continues to evolve, ongoing monitoring and adaptive strategies will be crucial in addressing property crime challenges.
