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Property Crime Trends in Snead, Alabama: A Decade of Decline
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Snead, Alabama, a small community of approximately 2,600 residents, has experienced a significant reduction in property crime rates over the past decade, despite a slight increase in population. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes decreased by 48.48%, from 33 incidents to 17, while the population grew by 0.95%, from 2,618 to 2,643 residents.
Burglary rates in Snead have shown a remarkable decline. In 2010, there were 10 burglaries reported, which dropped to just 1 in 2022, representing a 90% reduction. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate fell from 3.82 per 1,000 people in 2010 to 0.38 per 1,000 in 2022. The city's contribution to state burglaries also decreased from 0.04% in 2010 to 0.01% in 2022, indicating a significant improvement in local security measures or community vigilance.
Larceny-theft incidents in Snead have also decreased over the observed period, albeit less dramatically than burglaries. In 2010, there were 17 larceny-thefts reported, which reduced to 9 in 2022, marking a 47.06% decrease. The larceny-theft rate per 1,000 people dropped from 6.49 in 2010 to 3.41 in 2022. The city's share of state larceny-theft numbers remained stable at 0.02% from 2010 to 2022, suggesting a modest improvement in preventing petty thefts and shoplifting.
Motor vehicle theft in Snead has shown a different pattern compared to other property crimes. In 2010, there were 6 incidents reported, and this number increased slightly to 7 cases in 2022. When accounting for population changes, the rate per 1,000 people rose from 2.29 in 2010 to 2.65 in 2022. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts remained constant at 0.10% from 2010 to 2022. This trend suggests that while other property crimes decreased, motor vehicle theft has remained a persistent issue in the community.
Arson data for Snead is largely unavailable, with most years reporting no data. The only year with a recorded figure is 2022, showing 0 arson incidents. Without more historical data, it is not possible to analyze trends or make meaningful comparisons for this category of crime.
An examination of correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors in Snead reveals some interesting patterns. As the population density increased slightly from 461 per square mile in 2010 to 465 in 2022, there was a corresponding decrease in overall property crime rates. This suggests that the modest increase in population density did not negatively impact property crime incidents. Additionally, the median income in Snead increased from $39,258 in 2013 to $43,493 in 2022, coinciding with the overall decline in property crimes. This correlation might indicate that improved economic conditions could be contributing to lower crime rates.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for Snead over the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a continued gradual decline in overall property crime rates. Based on the historical data and current trends, it is projected that burglaries and larceny-thefts will likely continue to decrease, potentially reaching even lower levels. However, motor vehicle thefts may remain stable or potentially increase slightly if current patterns persist.
In summary, Snead has demonstrated a positive trend in reducing property crimes over the past decade, particularly in burglaries and larceny-thefts. The stability in motor vehicle thefts, despite reductions in other areas, highlights a potential focus area for law enforcement and community efforts. These trends, coupled with increasing median income and stable population growth, paint a picture of a community that is experiencing gradual improvements in safety and economic stability.
