Motor vehicle theft showed more variability but ultimately increased. In 2013, there were 2 motor vehicle thefts, which rose to 9 in 2020 before decreasing to 2 in 2022. The rate per 1,000 residents increased from 0.54 in 2013 to 0.58 in 2022. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts remained low but showed a slight increase, reaching 0.01% in 2019 and 2020. This trend suggests that while other property crimes decreased, motor vehicle theft remained a persistent issue.

Arson cases in the city were rare, with only one reported incident each in 2011, 2012, and 2021. The rate per 1,000 residents for these years was approximately 0.27, 0.27, and 0.29, respectively. The city's contribution to state arson cases peaked at 0.04% in 2021. The infrequency of arson cases indicates it is not a significant concern for the community.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a strong inverse relationship between median income and property crime rates. As median income increased from $31,537 in 2013 to $45,592 in 2022, total property crimes decreased from 81 to 6. This suggests that improved economic conditions may contribute to reduced property crime rates.

Applying predictive models based on recent trends, it's projected that by 2029, property crime rates in Seymour may continue to decrease or stabilize at low levels. The total number of property crimes could potentially range between 0-10 annually, with burglaries and larceny thefts remaining in single digits. Motor vehicle thefts might fluctuate between 1-5 cases per year, while arson is expected to remain rare or non-existent.

In summary, Seymour has experienced a remarkable reduction in property crimes over the past decade, particularly in burglaries and larceny thefts. This positive trend, coupled with rising median incomes, suggests an improving quality of life for residents. However, continued vigilance may be necessary to address the persistent, albeit low, rates of motor vehicle theft and to maintain the overall low crime rates achieved by 2022.