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Property Crime Trends in Sedona: Red Rocks and Shifting Statistics
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Sedona, Arizona, a picturesque city known for its stunning red rock formations and vibrant arts scene, has experienced notable shifts in its property crime landscape over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes in Sedona decreased by 18.57%, from 210 to 171 incidents. During this same period, the city's population saw a modest decline of 2.73%, from 10,598 to 10,309 residents.
Burglary rates in the city have shown a fluctuating trend. In 2010, there were 50 burglaries, which decreased to 41 by 2022. This represents an 18% decrease over the 12-year period. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 4.72 in 2010 to 3.98 in 2022. Interestingly, while the absolute number of burglaries decreased, the city's share of state burglaries increased significantly from 0.13% in 2010 to 0.30% in 2022. This suggests that while Sedona improved its burglary situation, it did so at a slower rate than the state average.
Larceny-theft, the most common property crime in the city, saw a substantial decrease from 155 incidents in 2010 to 122 in 2022, a 21.29% reduction. The rate per 1,000 residents also declined from 14.62 to 11.83 over this period. However, the city's share of state larceny-theft incidents increased slightly from 0.14% to 0.15%, indicating that the city's improvement in this category was roughly in line with state trends.
Motor vehicle theft in the city showed an increase from 5 incidents in 2010 to 8 in 2022, a 60% rise. The rate per 1,000 residents grew from 0.47 to 0.78. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts doubled from 0.03% to 0.06%, suggesting that this type of crime increased more rapidly in Sedona than in the state overall.
Arson cases in Sedona have seen a significant increase, rising from 1 incident in 2010 to 3 in 2022. This 200% increase is reflected in the rate per 1,000 residents, which grew from 0.09 to 0.29. The city's share of state arson cases increased from 0.11% to 0.55%, indicating that Sedona experienced a much more substantial increase in arson compared to the state average.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. There appears to be a strong inverse correlation between median income and property crime rates. As the median income rose from $53,600 in 2013 to $61,305 in 2022, overall property crime rates decreased. Similarly, there's a notable correlation between home ownership rates and property crime. As the percentage of owner-occupied homes increased from 63% in 2013 to 75% in 2022, property crime rates generally declined.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (until 2029) suggests a potential stabilization or slight decrease in overall property crime rates. Burglary and larceny-theft are projected to continue their downward trend, albeit at a slower rate. Motor vehicle theft and arson, however, may continue to see slight increases if current trends persist.
In summary, Sedona has made significant strides in reducing certain types of property crimes, particularly burglary and larceny-theft, over the past decade. However, the city faces emerging challenges with increases in motor vehicle theft and arson. The strong correlations between rising median incomes, increased home ownership, and declining property crime rates suggest that continued economic growth and community stability may play crucial roles in further reducing property crime in Sedona.
