Motor vehicle theft in the city fluctuated but showed an overall increase. There were 22 motor vehicle thefts in 2010, which rose to 24 in 2022, a 9% increase. However, when adjusted for population, the rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 1.37 in 2010 to 1.12 in 2022, an 18% reduction. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts increased from 0.22% to 0.37%, indicating a slower decrease compared to the state average.

Arson data for the city is limited, with only one reported case in 2019, representing 0.56% of state arsons that year. The lack of consistent data makes it difficult to draw meaningful conclusions about arson trends in the city.

Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. As the population density increased from 2,747 per square mile in 2010 to 3,684 in 2022, property crimes also showed an upward trend. This suggests a potential correlation between increased urbanization and property crime rates. Additionally, the median income rose from $92,997 in 2013 to $123,436 in 2022, coinciding with fluctuations in property crime rates, which may indicate a complex relationship between economic factors and crime.

The racial composition of the city has also shifted, with the Asian population increasing from 21% in 2013 to 33% in 2022, while the white population decreased from 53% to 39% over the same period. This demographic change occurred alongside the overall increase in property crimes, though a direct causal relationship cannot be established without further analysis.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a potential continuation of the upward trend in overall property crimes. Based on historical data, we might expect to see total property crimes reach approximately 700-750 by 2029. Larceny theft is likely to remain the dominant form of property crime, potentially approaching 600-650 cases annually. Burglaries may continue their downward trend, possibly dropping to around 20-25 cases per year. Motor vehicle thefts could stabilize or show a slight increase, potentially reaching 30-35 cases annually.

In summary, Secaucus has experienced a complex evolution in property crime patterns against a backdrop of significant population growth and demographic changes. While burglaries have decreased both in absolute numbers and per capita, larceny thefts and motor vehicle thefts have increased or remained stable when adjusted for population growth. The city's share of state property crimes has generally increased across categories, suggesting localized factors influencing crime rates. As Secaucus continues to grow and evolve, ongoing monitoring and adaptive crime prevention strategies will be crucial in managing these trends and ensuring community safety.