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Property Crime Trends in Royalton, Minnesota: Larceny-Theft Drives Increase
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Royalton, a city in Minnesota, has witnessed significant changes in its property crime landscape from 2020 to 2022. During this period, the total number of property crimes increased from 33 to 55, representing a 66.7% increase. Concurrently, the city's population grew from 3,594.5 to 3,730, a 3.8% increase. This disparity between crime and population growth rates indicates a disproportionate rise in property crime relative to the city's expansion.
Burglary trends in Royalton show a fluctuating pattern. In 2020 and 2021, there were no reported burglaries. However, in 2022, one burglary was recorded, resulting in a rate of 0.27 burglaries per 1,000 residents. This single incident represented 0.01% of the state's total burglaries in 2022. While this increase is noteworthy, the overall burglary rate remains low, suggesting that home security may not be a major concern for residents.
Larceny-theft has been the predominant form of property crime in Royalton. The number of larceny-theft incidents increased from 32 in 2020 to 57 in 2021, before slightly decreasing to 52 in 2022. This translates to a rate of 13.94 incidents per 1,000 residents in 2022, up from 8.9 in 2020. The city's contribution to the state's larceny-theft cases rose from 0.05% in 2020 to 0.07% in 2022, indicating a growing share of this type of crime relative to the state.
Motor vehicle theft in Royalton has shown variability. There was one incident in 2020, none in 2021, and two in 2022. This translates to a rate of 0.54 thefts per 1,000 residents in 2022, compared to 0.28 in 2020. The city's contribution to the state's motor vehicle thefts remained relatively stable, at 0.01% in both 2020 and 2022. While the numbers are small, the increase suggests a need for vigilance in vehicle security.
Arson incidents have been consistently absent in Royalton from 2020 to 2022, with no reported cases. This absence of arson cases suggests effective fire prevention measures or a lack of factors that typically contribute to arson incidents in the community.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. The rise in property crimes coincides with an increase in population density, which grew from 1,791 per square mile in 2020 to 1,859 in 2022. Additionally, the median income rose significantly from $80,598.5 in 2020 to $81,569 in 2022, potentially influencing the types of property crimes committed. The percentage of owner-occupied housing remained stable at 82% during this period, which might have contributed to the consistency in certain crime patterns.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a potential continuation of the upward trend in overall property crimes if current conditions persist. Larceny-theft is likely to remain the dominant form of property crime, potentially reaching around 70-75 incidents annually by 2029. Burglary and motor vehicle theft may see slight increases, possibly averaging 2-3 incidents per year each. Arson is expected to remain rare or non-existent.
In summary, Royalton has experienced a notable increase in property crimes, primarily driven by larceny-theft, while its population has grown at a slower rate. The city's contribution to state-wide property crimes has increased slightly, particularly in larceny-theft. These trends, coupled with demographic changes, suggest a need for targeted crime prevention strategies, especially focusing on theft deterrence and community awareness programs.
