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Property Crime Trends in Rosemead: A Decade of Fluctuations and Economic Correlations
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Rosemead, located in California, has experienced notable fluctuations in property crime rates over the past decade, set against a backdrop of changing demographics. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes increased by 28.4%, from 1,118 to 1,436 incidents. During this same period, the population decreased by 4.4%, from 54,851 to 52,436 residents, creating a complex dynamic for crime analysis.
Burglary trends in the city have shown significant variability. In 2010, there were 221 burglaries, which increased to 330 in 2017, representing a 49.3% rise. However, by 2022, burglaries had increased further to 380, a 71.9% increase from 2010. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate per 1,000 residents rose from 4.03 in 2010 to 7.25 in 2022, a substantial 79.9% increase. The city's share of state burglaries also grew dramatically, from 0.12% in 2010 to 0.32% in 2022, indicating that burglary became a more pronounced issue in the city relative to the rest of California.
Larceny theft incidents fluctuated over the years but ultimately showed an increase. From 695 cases in 2010, the number rose to 779 in 2022, a 12.1% increase. However, when considering the population decline, the rate per 1,000 residents increased more significantly, from 12.67 in 2010 to 14.86 in 2022, a 17.3% rise. The city's contribution to state larceny theft figures increased slightly from 0.14% to 0.16% over this period, suggesting a marginally growing problem relative to the state.
Motor vehicle theft in the city showed a concerning upward trend. In 2010, there were 202 reported cases, which increased to 277 in 2022, a 37.1% rise. The rate per 1,000 residents grew from 3.68 in 2010 to 5.28 in 2022, a 43.5% increase. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts fluctuated but ultimately increased from 0.16% to 0.18%, indicating a slightly growing problem relative to state trends.
Arson cases in the city have been relatively low but variable. From 2 cases in 2010, the number peaked at 9 in 2016 before dropping to no reported cases in 2022. Due to the low numbers, the rate per 1,000 residents and the percentage of state arsons fluctuated significantly, making it difficult to draw meaningful conclusions about long-term trends.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. As the median income increased from $48,941 in 2013 to $62,996 in 2022, a 28.7% rise, property crime rates also increased. This suggests that rising incomes did not necessarily lead to reduced property crime. The Asian population percentage grew from 61% in 2013 to 63% in 2022, while the Hispanic population slightly decreased from 32% to 31%. These demographic shifts coincided with the overall increase in property crimes, though a direct causal relationship cannot be established.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a potential continuation of the upward trend in overall property crimes. Based on historical data, burglaries and motor vehicle thefts may continue to increase at a higher rate than larceny thefts. However, these predictions should be interpreted cautiously, as various factors, including law enforcement strategies and socioeconomic changes, could influence future crime rates.
In conclusion, Rosemead has faced increasing challenges with property crimes over the past decade, particularly in burglaries and motor vehicle thefts. The rise in crime rates, even as the population decreased, suggests a need for targeted crime prevention strategies. The city's growing share of state crime figures in certain categories indicates that these issues may be more pronounced in Rosemead compared to other parts of California. As the city moves forward, addressing these trends will be crucial for enhancing public safety and community well-being.
