Motor vehicle theft also demonstrated a declining trend. There was 1 incident in 2021, which decreased to 0 in 2022. This translates to a reduction from about 0.33 incidents per 1,000 people in 2021 to 0 in 2022. As with other property crimes, the percentage of state motor vehicle thefts attributed to the city remained at 0% for both years, indicating a negligible impact on state-wide statistics.

Arson incidents in the city remained consistently at 0 for both 2021 and 2022, resulting in a rate of 0 per 1,000 people and 0% of state arsons for both years. This stability suggests that arson is not a significant concern for the community.

Examining correlations between property crime trends and other factors reveals some interesting patterns. The city's population density increased from 2,952 people per square mile in 2021 to 3,107 in 2022, coinciding with the overall decrease in property crimes. This suggests that increased urbanization may not necessarily lead to higher crime rates in this case. Additionally, the median income decreased from $86,050 in 2021 to $76,761 in 2022, while the percentage of owner-occupied housing decreased slightly from 89% to 85%. These changes occurred alongside the reduction in overall property crimes, indicating that local economic factors may have a complex relationship with crime rates.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests that the city may continue to experience low levels of property crime. If current trends persist, we might expect to see fluctuations between 0 and 1 incidents per year for each category of property crime. However, as the population continues to grow, there may be a slight increase in the absolute number of incidents, though the per capita rate could remain low.

In summary, Rogers has demonstrated a positive trend in property crime reduction from 2021 to 2022, despite population growth. The most significant discoveries include the overall decrease in property crimes, the maintenance of very low crime rates per capita, and the consistent 0% contribution to state-wide property crime statistics. These findings suggest that the city has been effective in maintaining public safety as it grows, potentially through community engagement, law enforcement strategies, or other local initiatives. As the city continues to develop, monitoring these trends will be crucial for maintaining the current low crime rates and ensuring the continued safety and security of its residents.