Motor vehicle theft showed more volatility but ultimately increased slightly. There were 14 incidents in 2010, which rose to 17 in 2022, a 21.4% increase. However, when adjusted for population growth, the rate remained relatively stable, moving from 0.59 per 1,000 residents in 2010 to 0.66 per 1,000 in 2022. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts fluctuated, starting at 0.09% in 2010, peaking at 0.19% in 2019, and settling at 0.08% in 2022.

Arson data is limited and inconsistent, with only two reported incidents in 2012 and 2016, making it difficult to establish meaningful trends or correlations.

Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. As the median income increased from $138,087 in 2013 to $145,006 in 2022, overall property crime rates decreased, suggesting a potential negative correlation between income levels and property crime. The percentage of owner-occupied housing remained relatively stable, hovering around 70% throughout the period, which may have contributed to community stability and lower crime rates.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a continued gradual decline in overall property crime rates. Burglary and larceny-theft are expected to maintain their downward trajectories, while motor vehicle theft may stabilize or show slight increases in line with recent trends.

In conclusion, Rockville Centre has demonstrated a notable improvement in property crime rates over the past decade, particularly in burglary and larceny-theft. This positive trend, coupled with population growth and rising median incomes, suggests an increasingly safe and prosperous community. However, ongoing vigilance and adaptive strategies will be crucial to maintain these favorable trends and address potential challenges, such as the slight uptick in motor vehicle thefts.