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Property Crime Trends in Rockport, Indiana: A Demographic Perspective
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Rockport, located in Indiana, presents an interesting case study for property crime trends. In 2020, the city recorded a total of 26 property crimes. This small city, with a population of 2,843 in 2022, has experienced a slight population decline of 8.25% from 2020 to 2022.
Burglary trends in the city show a rate of 1.76 incidents per 1,000 people in 2020, accounting for 0.05% of the state's total burglaries. With only 5 reported burglaries in 2020, the city maintains a relatively low incidence rate compared to its population size. The percentage of state burglaries, while small, indicates that the city contributes a proportionate share to the state's burglary statistics given its population.
Larceny-theft appears to be the most prevalent property crime in the area, with 17 incidents reported in 2020. This translates to a rate of 5.99 incidents per 1,000 people, representing 0.03% of the state's larceny-theft cases. The higher number of larceny-theft incidents compared to other property crimes suggests it's the primary concern for local law enforcement and residents.
Motor vehicle theft in the city occurred at a rate of 1.41 incidents per 1,000 people in 2020, with 4 reported cases. This accounts for 0.04% of the state's motor vehicle thefts. The relatively low number of incidents indicates that motor vehicle theft is not a major issue in the city, but it still contributes a noticeable portion to the state's overall figures.
Arson data for 2020 shows zero reported incidents, indicating that this particular crime is not a significant concern for the city. The 0.0% contribution to the state's arson cases further underscores the rarity of this crime in the local context.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. The city's median income increased from $45,910 in 2020 to $45,371 in 2022, a slight decrease of 1.17%. This minor fluctuation in median income doesn't appear to have a strong correlation with the property crime rates observed. The percentage of owner-occupied housing remained relatively stable at 65% in 2020 and 62% in 2022, suggesting that home ownership patterns have not significantly influenced property crime trends.
The racial distribution of the city has remained predominantly white, with 92% of the population identifying as white in 2020 and 2022. This stability in racial demographics suggests that changes in property crime rates are not strongly correlated with shifts in the racial composition of the city.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next seven years (up to 2029, which is five years from now in 2024) suggests that if current patterns persist, the city may experience a slight decrease in overall property crime rates. This projection is based on the stable or slightly declining population trend and the relatively low baseline of property crimes observed in 2020.
In summary, Rockport exhibits a relatively low incidence of property crimes, with larceny-theft being the most common type. The city's contribution to state-wide property crime statistics is proportional to its population size. The stability in demographic factors such as median income, home ownership, and racial distribution suggests that these elements have not been significant drivers of property crime trends. Looking ahead, the city appears poised to maintain or potentially improve its property crime rates, assuming current socio-economic conditions remain stable.
