Motor vehicle theft in the city has been sporadic. There were no incidents in 2010, 2011, and 2012. The highest number was recorded in 2014 and 2018, with 2 incidents each year, representing 0.96 and 0.96 thefts per 1,000 residents, respectively. In 2022, there were no reported motor vehicle thefts. The city's contribution to state motor vehicle theft statistics peaked at 0.01% in years with incidents, indicating that this crime remains relatively uncommon and has a minimal impact on state-level statistics.

Arson incidents have been notably absent from the city's crime reports throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2022. This consistent lack of arson cases suggests that fire-related property crimes are not a significant concern for the community.

Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. The fluctuations in property crime rates appear to have a weak inverse relationship with population density. For instance, in 2012, when property crimes peaked at 16 incidents, the population density was 740 per square mile. In contrast, in 2022, with only 3 property crimes, the density was slightly lower at 722 per square mile. However, this correlation is not strong enough to suggest a definitive causal relationship.

Median income shows a potential correlation with property crime rates. As median income increased from $44,472 in 2013 to $52,036 in 2022, there was a general downward trend in property crimes, from 9 incidents in 2013 to 3 in 2022. This suggests that improving economic conditions may contribute to reduced property crime rates.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a potential stabilization or slight decrease in overall property crime rates. Based on the historical data and current trends, it's projected that the city may experience an average of 4-6 property crimes annually, with larceny-theft likely remaining the most common type. Burglary and motor vehicle theft are expected to remain low, potentially averaging 0-1 incidents per year each. Arson is predicted to continue its absence from the crime statistics.

In conclusion, Rock Port has demonstrated a relatively stable property crime environment over the past decade, with some fluctuations. The most recent data indicates a trend towards lower crime rates, potentially influenced by improving economic conditions. While property crimes, particularly larceny-theft, have been present, their impact on the community and contribution to state-level statistics remain minimal. The absence of arson and the low rates of motor vehicle theft are positive indicators for community safety. Moving forward, the city appears poised to maintain or potentially improve its property crime statistics, reflecting positively on its overall safety and quality of life for residents.