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Property Crime Trends in Robersonville: A Decade of Significant Decline
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Robersonville, a town in North Carolina, has experienced a remarkable decrease in property crime rates over the past decade. From 2010 to 2021, the total number of property crimes plummeted by 73%, from 63 to 17 incidents, despite a 2% population increase from 2,666 to 2,719 residents. This substantial reduction in crime relative to population growth indicates a significant improvement in overall property crime rates.
Burglary trends in Robersonville have shown a general decline over time. The number of reported burglaries decreased from 18 in 2010 to 6 in 2021, representing a 67% reduction. When adjusted for population changes, the burglary rate per 1,000 residents fell from 6.75 in 2010 to 2.21 in 2021. The town's share of state burglaries fluctuated, reaching a peak of 0.09% in 2015 before declining to 0.02% in 2021. This downward trend suggests improved home security measures or more effective law enforcement strategies.
Larceny-theft incidents also experienced a significant decline in Robersonville. The number of reported cases dropped from 45 in 2010 to 7 in 2021, marking an 84% decrease. The larceny-theft rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 16.88 in 2010 to 2.57 in 2021. The town's contribution to state larceny-theft statistics remained relatively low, ranging from 0.01% to 0.04% throughout the period. This substantial reduction in larceny-theft could indicate enhanced community awareness and improved preventive measures.
Motor vehicle theft trends in Robersonville showed more variability. There were no reported cases in 2010 and 2012, but the number increased to 4 in 2021. Despite this increase, the rate per 1,000 residents remained relatively low, reaching 1.47 in 2021. The town's share of state motor vehicle thefts increased from 0% in 2010 to 0.03% in 2021, suggesting a slight divergence from statewide trends. This uptick in motor vehicle thefts, while small in absolute numbers, may warrant attention from local law enforcement.
Arson incidents were rare in Robersonville. Only one case was reported in 2015, representing 0.15% of state arsons for that year. In all other years, no arson cases were reported. This isolated incident does not indicate a persistent problem with arson in the town.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and socioeconomic factors reveals some interesting patterns. As the median income increased from $26,993 in 2013 to $36,009 in 2022, there was a general decrease in property crimes. Similarly, the rise in homeownership rates from 50% in 2013 to 69% in 2022 coincided with the overall reduction in property crimes. These trends suggest that improving economic conditions and increased homeownership may contribute to lower property crime rates.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) indicates a potential continuation of the overall downward trend. Based on historical data, projections suggest that total property crimes may further decrease by approximately 15-20% by 2029. However, motor vehicle thefts may continue to show slight increases, potentially reaching 5-6 incidents annually by 2029.
In summary, Robersonville has demonstrated a significant improvement in property crime rates over the past decade, with substantial reductions in burglaries and larceny-thefts. The increase in motor vehicle thefts, while small in absolute numbers, represents an area for potential focus. The correlation between rising incomes, increased homeownership, and declining property crime rates suggests that continued economic growth and community stability may further contribute to crime reduction. As the town moves forward, maintaining these positive trends while addressing emerging challenges will be crucial for ensuring the safety and security of its residents.
