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Property Crime Trends in Purvis, Mississippi: A Decade of Growth and Change
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Purvis, located in Mississippi, has experienced notable changes in property crime rates alongside significant population growth over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes increased by 25%, from 16 to 20 incidents, while the population grew by 18.9%, from 5,798 to 6,895 residents.
Burglary trends in the city show a slight increase over time, with incidents rising from 5 in 2010 to 6 in 2022, representing a 20% increase. However, when considering the population growth, the burglary rate per 1,000 people actually decreased from 0.86 to 0.87 over this period. Notably, the city's contribution to state-wide burglary crimes increased significantly, from 0.03% in 2010 to 0.18% in 2022. This suggests that while the local burglary rate remained relatively stable, the city's share of state-wide burglaries grew considerably.
Larceny-theft incidents in the city also saw an uptick, increasing from 11 in 2010 to 13 in 2022, an 18.2% rise. When adjusted for population growth, the rate per 1,000 people slightly decreased from 1.90 to 1.89. The city's contribution to state-wide larceny-theft incidents tripled from 0.03% to 0.09% during this period, indicating a growing significance in the state's overall property crime landscape.
Motor vehicle theft trends show a notable change. While there were no reported incidents in 2010, by 2022, there was 1 reported case. This translates to a rate of 0.15 per 1,000 people in 2022. The city's contribution to state-wide motor vehicle thefts rose from 0% to 0.06%, suggesting an emerging concern in this category of property crime.
Arson incidents remained at zero throughout the observed period, from 2010 to 2022, indicating no reported cases in the city. Consequently, there was no change in the arson rate per 1,000 people or in the city's contribution to state-wide arson statistics.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals interesting patterns. The increase in property crimes coincides with a period of rising median income, which grew from $43,574 in 2013 to $55,390 in 2022. This suggests that economic growth may not necessarily lead to reduced property crime rates in this context. Additionally, the rise in property crimes occurred alongside a slight decrease in the white population percentage, from 84% in 2013 to 85% in 2022, and an increase in the Hispanic population from 3% to 6% over the same period.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a potential continuation of the observed patterns. If current trends persist, we might expect to see a slight increase in overall property crimes, potentially reaching 22-24 incidents annually. Burglary rates may stabilize around 6-7 incidents per year. Larceny-theft could see a modest increase to 14-15 incidents annually. Motor vehicle theft might remain low but could potentially increase to 2 incidents per year. Arson incidents are likely to remain at or near zero, based on historical data.
In summary, Purvis has experienced a nuanced evolution in its property crime landscape. While overall incidents have increased, the rates per capita have remained relatively stable due to population growth. The city's growing contribution to state-wide property crime statistics, particularly in burglary and larceny-theft, warrants attention. These trends, coupled with demographic shifts and economic growth, paint a complex picture of the city's changing dynamics and their potential impact on property crime patterns in the coming years.
