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Property Crime Trends in Piggott, Arkansas: A Decade of Decline Amidst Population Changes
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Piggott, located in Arkansas, has experienced notable changes in property crime rates and population over the years. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes fluctuated, ultimately decreasing by 53.76% from 93 incidents in 2010 to 43 in 2022. During the same period, the population declined by 10.43%, from 4,639 in 2010 to 4,155 in 2022. This analysis will delve into the specific trends of various property crimes and their implications for the city.
Burglary rates in the city have shown a significant downward trend over the years. In 2010, there were 65 burglaries reported, which decreased to 14 in 2022, marking a 78.46% reduction. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate per 1,000 residents fell from 14.01 in 2010 to 3.37 in 2022. Interestingly, the city's share of state burglaries fluctuated, peaking at 0.45% in 2013 before declining to 0.14% in 2022. This substantial decrease in burglaries suggests improved security measures or enhanced law enforcement efforts in the community.
Larceny-theft incidents have also shown an overall decline, albeit with some fluctuations. In 2010, 27 larceny-thefts were reported, compared to 28 in 2022, a slight increase of 3.70%. However, when considering the population change, the rate per 1,000 residents increased from 5.82 in 2010 to 6.74 in 2022. The city's contribution to state larceny-theft statistics rose from 0.05% in 2010 to 0.06% in 2022. This relatively stable trend in larceny-theft, despite population decline, may indicate persistent challenges in preventing such crimes.
Motor vehicle theft in the city has remained relatively low throughout the years. In 2010, there was 1 reported case, and this number remained the same in 2022. However, due to population decline, the rate per 1,000 residents slightly increased from 0.22 in 2010 to 0.24 in 2022. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts fluctuated minimally, from 0.03% in 2010 to 0.02% in 2022. These figures suggest that motor vehicle theft is not a significant concern for the community.
Arson incidents have been sporadic in the city. There were no reported cases in 2010, but 2 cases were reported in 2022. This increase raised the rate per 1,000 residents from 0 in 2010 to 0.48 in 2022. Notably, the city's contribution to state arson statistics jumped from 0% in 2010 to 0.62% in 2022. While the absolute numbers are small, this increase warrants attention from local authorities to prevent further incidents.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a strong inverse relationship between median income and property crime rates. As median income increased from $30,984 in 2013 to $40,787 in 2022, total property crimes decreased from 153 to 43 during the same period. This suggests that improving economic conditions may contribute to reduced property crime rates.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends, it is estimated that by 2029 (five years from now), the city may experience a further reduction in overall property crimes. Burglaries are projected to decrease to around 8-10 cases annually, while larceny-theft may stabilize at approximately 25-30 incidents per year. Motor vehicle theft is expected to remain low, potentially averaging 1-2 cases annually. Arson incidents, given their sporadic nature, are challenging to predict but may remain at 1-2 cases per year if current trends continue.
In conclusion, Piggott has shown a generally positive trend in property crime reduction over the past decade, particularly in burglaries. The inverse correlation between rising median income and declining crime rates suggests that continued economic growth could further enhance public safety. However, the slight increase in larceny-theft rates and the sporadic occurrence of arson incidents highlight areas that may require ongoing attention from law enforcement and community leaders to maintain and improve the city's safety profile.
