Motor vehicle theft in the city emerged as a concern in 2019, with 3 reported incidents, up from zero in 2015. This equates to 0.82 thefts per 1,000 residents in 2019. Notably, the city's share of state motor vehicle thefts jumped from 0% in 2015 to 0.02% in 2019, indicating a disproportionate increase compared to state levels. However, by 2020, no motor vehicle thefts were reported, suggesting either a successful intervention or potential data inconsistency.

Arson incidents were consistently reported as zero from 2015 to 2020, with the city maintaining a 0% share of state arson cases. This stability in arson rates is a positive aspect of the city's crime profile.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a relationship between property crime trends and median income. As the median income rose from $56,259 in 2015 to $82,531.5 in 2020, an increase of about 46.7%, the overall property crime rate showed some fluctuation but generally remained low. This suggests that improving economic conditions may have had a stabilizing effect on property crime rates.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we anticipate a potential slight increase in overall property crimes, primarily driven by cyclical patterns observed in burglary and larceny-theft rates. However, the rate of increase is expected to be modest, likely not exceeding 10% over the five-year period, assuming economic conditions remain stable or continue to improve.

In summary, Petersburg has experienced fluctuating but generally low property crime rates over the observed period. The most significant changes were seen in burglary and larceny-theft, while motor vehicle theft emerged as a temporary concern in 2019. The absence of arson incidents is a positive factor in the city's crime profile. The correlation between rising median income and relatively stable crime rates suggests that continued economic growth could be a key factor in maintaining or further reducing property crime in the coming years.