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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Perry, located in Kansas, presents an interesting case study in property crime trends. With a population of 1,680 in 2022, this small city has experienced fluctuations in both its population and crime rates over the past decade. The total number of property crimes decreased from 3 in 2011 to 1 in 2019, representing a 66.67% reduction. During the same period, the population grew from 1,546 in 2011 to 1,543 in 2019, a marginal decrease of 0.19%.
Analyzing the burglary trends, we find that there were no reported burglaries in either 2011 or 2019. This consistent zero rate suggests that burglary has not been a significant concern for the city throughout this period. The absence of burglaries, despite population changes, indicates a potentially strong community or effective preventive measures in place.
Larceny-theft, on the other hand, shows a notable trend. In 2011, there were 3 reported cases, which decreased to 1 case in 2019. This represents a 66.67% decrease in larceny-theft incidents. When considering the population, the rate of larceny-theft per 1,000 people decreased from 1.94 in 2011 to 0.65 in 2019. The percentage of state larceny-theft attributed to Perry also decreased from 0.01% in 2011 to 0.00% in 2019, suggesting that the city's contribution to overall state larceny-theft incidents has become negligible.
Motor vehicle theft data shows no reported cases in either 2011 or 2019. Similar to burglary, this consistent zero rate indicates that motor vehicle theft has not been a prevalent issue in the city during the observed period.
The arson data for Perry also shows no reported cases in both 2011 and 2019. This absence of arson incidents suggests a consistently safe environment in terms of this particular crime category.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and other demographic factors, we observe a potential link between the decrease in larceny-theft and changes in population density. The population density increased from 2,064 per square mile in 2011 to 2,060 per square mile in 2019, a slight decrease of 0.19%. This marginal change in density coincides with the reduction in larceny-theft cases, possibly suggesting that stable community structures contribute to lower property crime rates.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we can anticipate that if current trends continue, Perry may maintain its low property crime rates. The consistent absence of burglaries, motor vehicle thefts, and arsons suggests these crimes are likely to remain rare. Larceny-theft, having shown a significant decrease, may stabilize at very low levels or potentially reach zero incidents in some years.
In summary, Perry has demonstrated a positive trend in property crime reduction, particularly in larceny-theft, which was the only reported property crime category with incidents. The city's ability to maintain zero rates in burglary, motor vehicle theft, and arson, coupled with the significant decrease in larceny-theft, paints a picture of a community that has effectively managed property crime issues. These trends, if sustained, could position Perry as a model for small city crime management and community safety.