Loading Content...
Property Crime Trends in Peekskill: A Decade of Change in a Historic New York City
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Peekskill, located in New York, has experienced fluctuating property crime rates alongside steady population growth over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes decreased by 18.97%, from 232 to 276 incidents. During this same period, the population increased by 9.27%, from 23,247 to 25,401 residents. This analysis will delve into the specific trends of various property crime categories and their implications for the city.
Burglary rates in the city have shown a significant downward trend. In 2010, there were 57 burglaries reported, which decreased to 17 in 2022, marking a 70.18% reduction. When considering population growth, the burglary rate per 1,000 residents fell from 2.45 in 2010 to 0.67 in 2022. The city's share of state burglaries also decreased from 0.14% in 2010 to 0.07% in 2022. This substantial decline in burglaries suggests improved home security measures or more effective law enforcement strategies targeting this type of crime.
Larceny-theft, the most common property crime in the city, has shown more variability. In 2010, there were 172 larceny-theft incidents, which increased to 250 in 2022, a 45.35% rise. The rate per 1,000 residents increased from 7.40 in 2010 to 9.84 in 2022. The city's percentage of state larceny-thefts rose from 0.10% to 0.13% during this period. This upward trend in larceny-theft could indicate a shift in criminal activity towards less confrontational property crimes or potentially reflect changes in reporting practices.
Motor vehicle theft rates have fluctuated but show an overall increase. In 2010, there were 3 reported motor vehicle thefts, which increased to 9 in 2022, a 200% increase. The rate per 1,000 residents rose from 0.13 in 2010 to 0.35 in 2022. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts increased from 0.02% to 0.04%. While the percentage increase is substantial, the absolute numbers remain relatively low, suggesting this may not be a primary concern for law enforcement.
Arson incidents have been sporadic and relatively rare. In 2010, there was 1 reported arson, and in 2022, there were 3 incidents. The rate per 1,000 residents increased slightly from 0.04 in 2010 to 0.12 in 2022. The city's percentage of state arsons rose from 0.18% to 0.65%. However, given the low absolute numbers, these percentages should be interpreted cautiously.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. As the population density increased from 5,351 per square mile in 2010 to 5,847 in 2022, there was a corresponding rise in larceny-theft rates. This could suggest that higher population density may contribute to more opportunities for this type of crime. Additionally, the median income rose from $76,843 in 2013 to $83,597 in 2022, which coincided with the overall decrease in burglaries, potentially indicating that improved economic conditions may have contributed to reduced burglary rates.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a potential continuation of current patterns. Burglaries are likely to remain low or potentially decrease further, while larceny-theft may continue to rise moderately. Motor vehicle thefts could stabilize or show a slight increase, and arson incidents are expected to remain rare but unpredictable due to their sporadic nature.
In conclusion, Peekskill has experienced a mixed trend in property crimes over the past decade, with significant reductions in burglaries offset by increases in larceny-theft and motor vehicle theft. These trends, coupled with demographic changes, paint a picture of a changing urban landscape where certain types of property crimes are evolving. As the city continues to grow and develop, ongoing monitoring and adaptive law enforcement strategies will be crucial in addressing these shifting patterns of property crime.
