Loading Content...
Property Crime Trends in Parlier, California: A Decade of Significant Decline
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Parlier, located in California, presents an interesting case study in property crime trends. With a population of 15,602 in 2022 and covering an area of 2.41 square miles, this small city has experienced significant fluctuations in property crime over the years. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes decreased by 63.4%, from 465 to 170 incidents. During the same period, the population grew by 3.5%, from 15,078 to 15,602 residents.
Burglary rates in the city have shown a substantial decline over the years. In 2010, there were 128 burglaries, which decreased to 24 in 2022, representing an 81.3% reduction. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate fell from 8.49 per 1,000 people in 2010 to 1.54 per 1,000 in 2022. The city's share of state burglaries also decreased significantly, from 0.07% in 2010 to 0.02% in 2022. This sharp decline in burglaries suggests improved security measures or more effective law enforcement strategies in the area.
Larceny-theft incidents have also decreased, though not as dramatically as burglaries. In 2010, there were 231 larceny-thefts, which reduced to 98 in 2022, a 57.6% decrease. The rate per 1,000 people dropped from 15.32 in 2010 to 6.28 in 2022. The city's contribution to state larceny-theft figures remained relatively stable, decreasing slightly from 0.04% in 2010 to 0.02% in 2022. This trend indicates a general improvement in property security, though not as pronounced as in burglary cases.
Motor vehicle theft trends have been more volatile. In 2010, there were 106 such thefts, which decreased to 48 in 2022, a 54.7% reduction. The rate per 1,000 people fell from 7.03 in 2010 to 3.08 in 2022. However, the city's share of state motor vehicle thefts fluctuated, peaking at 0.08% in 2013 and 2014, before decreasing to 0.03% in 2022. This volatility suggests that while overall numbers have decreased, motor vehicle theft remains a persistent issue relative to state levels.
Arson cases show a concerning trend. In 2010, there were 4 arsons, which increased to 36 in 2020 before data became unavailable in 2022. The rate per 1,000 people rose from 0.27 in 2010 to 2.25 in 2020. More alarmingly, the city's share of state arsons increased from 0.07% in 2010 to 0.36% in 2020, a significant jump for a small city. This trend suggests a growing problem with arson that requires immediate attention.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a strong inverse relationship between median income and property crime rates. As median income increased from $35,398 in 2013 to $43,335 in 2022, total property crimes decreased from 375 to 170. This suggests that improving economic conditions may contribute to reduced property crime.
Applying predictive models based on these trends, it's estimated that by 2029, Parlier could see further reductions in burglary and larceny-theft rates, potentially reaching as low as 15 burglaries and 80 larceny-thefts annually. Motor vehicle theft might stabilize around 45 incidents per year. However, if the arson trend continues, it could potentially reach 50 cases annually, which would be a significant concern for a city of this size.
In summary, Parlier has made substantial progress in reducing most types of property crime over the past decade, particularly in burglary and larceny-theft. However, the rising trend in arson cases presents a new challenge that requires focused attention. The correlation between rising incomes and falling crime rates suggests that continued economic development could further contribute to crime reduction. As the city moves forward, maintaining this positive trajectory while addressing the arson issue will be crucial for ensuring the safety and well-being of its residents.
