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Property Crime Trends in Owingsville, Kentucky: A Decade of Significant Decline
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Owingsville, a city in Kentucky, has witnessed substantial changes in property crime rates over the past decade, coinciding with notable population growth. Between 2010 and 2022, the total number of property crimes in the city decreased by 73.68%, from 38 to 10 incidents, while the population increased by 12.42%, from 4,652 to 5,230 residents.
Burglary trends in Owingsville have shown considerable volatility. The number of burglaries decreased from 8 in 2010 to 5 in 2022, representing a 37.5% reduction. The rate per 1,000 people fluctuated, reaching a peak of 2.08 per 1,000 in 2013 before dropping to 0.96 per 1,000 in 2022. The city's contribution to state burglaries varied widely, from a low of 0% in 2016 to a high of 0.1% in 2022. This significant increase in the state percentage, despite a lower number of incidents, suggests a potential shift in the distribution of burglaries across Kentucky.
Larceny theft in Owingsville has shown a dramatic decline over the years. The number of incidents decreased from 30 in 2010 to just 3 in 2022, a 90% reduction. The rate per 1,000 people dropped from 6.45 in 2010 to 0.57 in 2022. The city's contribution to state larceny thefts remained relatively low, peaking at 0.05% in 2010 and 2011, and dropping to 0.01% in 2022. This substantial decrease in larceny thefts suggests improved security measures or changing socioeconomic factors within the community.
Motor vehicle theft trends in Owingsville have been inconsistent. There were no reported incidents in 2010, 2012, and 2014. The highest number was recorded in 2017 with 3 thefts. In 2022, there were 2 incidents, representing a rate of 0.38 per 1,000 people. The city's contribution to state motor vehicle thefts peaked at 0.05% in 2022, indicating a slight increase in its share of this crime type relative to the state.
Arson incidents have been consistently reported as zero from 2010 to 2022, with no contribution to state arson statistics. This suggests that arson is not a significant concern for the city.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate inverse relationship between property crime rates and median income in Owingsville. As median income increased from $35,304 in 2013 to $40,453 in 2022, property crime incidents decreased from 21 to 10. Concurrently, the percentage of owner-occupied housing decreased from 77% in 2013 to 65% in 2022, which could potentially influence property crime rates.
Applying predictive models based on current trends, it is projected that by 2029, Owingsville may see a slight increase in property crimes to approximately 12-15 incidents annually. This forecast assumes that current socioeconomic trends and law enforcement efforts remain relatively stable.
In summary, Owingsville has demonstrated a significant overall decrease in property crimes from 2010 to 2022, particularly in larceny thefts. The city's contribution to state crime statistics has remained relatively low across all categories, with some fluctuations. The inverse relationship between rising median income and declining property crime rates suggests that economic improvements may have contributed to enhanced community safety. However, the decrease in owner-occupied housing percentages warrants attention as it could potentially influence future property crime trends.
