Motor vehicle theft in the city has remained relatively low, with some fluctuations. From 3 incidents in 2010, it decreased to 1 in 2021. The rate per 1,000 residents declined from 1.42 in 2010 to 0.52 in 2021. The city's contribution to state-wide motor vehicle theft incidents decreased slightly from 0.03% to 0.01%. These low numbers suggest that vehicle theft is not a major concern for the community, though vigilance should be maintained.

Arson cases in the city have been sporadic and rare. Only two incidents were reported over the 12-year period: one in 2011 and another in 2013. This translates to rates of 0.53 and 0.56 per 1,000 residents in those respective years. The city's contribution to state-wide arson cases was 0.14% in both instances. The rarity of arson cases indicates that it is not a persistent problem in the community.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate inverse relationship between property crime rates and median income. As the median income increased from $37,570 in 2013 to $48,415 in 2021, total property crimes decreased from 27 to 10. This suggests that improving economic conditions may contribute to reduced property crime rates.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends, we anticipate a continued gradual decline in overall property crime rates over the next five years (until 2029). Based on the current trends, we project that by 2029, the city may experience fewer than 5 total property crime incidents annually, with larceny-theft likely remaining the most common type of property crime.

In summary, Obion has demonstrated a remarkable improvement in property crime statistics over the past decade. The significant reductions in burglary and larceny-theft rates, coupled with consistently low numbers of motor vehicle theft and arson, paint a picture of a community becoming increasingly secure. These trends, if sustained, could contribute to an enhanced quality of life for residents and potentially attract new inhabitants or businesses to the area.