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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Newport, located in Tennessee, has experienced fluctuating property crime rates over the past decade, alongside modest population growth. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes decreased by 49.4%, from 784 to 397 incidents. During this same period, the population saw a slight decline of 2.1%, from 15,276 to 14,962 residents.
Burglary trends in the city have shown a significant decline over time. In 2010, there were 120 burglaries reported, which decreased to 26 in 2022, representing a 78.3% reduction. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate fell from 7.86 to 1.74 per 1,000 residents. The city's share of state burglaries fluctuated, starting at 0.28% in 2010, peaking at 0.38% in 2020, and then declining to 0.19% by 2022. This substantial decrease in burglaries suggests improved home security measures or more effective law enforcement strategies in the area.
Larceny-theft, the most common property crime in the city, also experienced a downward trend. In 2010, there were 633 larceny-theft incidents, which decreased to 342 in 2022, a 46% reduction. The rate per 1,000 residents dropped from 41.44 to 22.86. The city's proportion of state larceny-thefts remained relatively stable, ranging from 0.44% to 0.60% over the years, ending at 0.45% in 2022. This decline in larceny-theft rates may indicate improved community awareness and crime prevention efforts.
Motor vehicle theft trends showed more variability. In 2010, there were 31 reported incidents, which decreased to 29 in 2022, a 6.5% reduction. However, the rate per 1,000 residents slightly increased from 2.03 to 1.94 due to the population decrease. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts fluctuated, reaching a high of 0.55% in 2019 before declining to 0.16% in 2022. This relative stability in motor vehicle thefts suggests that while other property crimes have decreased, vehicle security remains an ongoing concern.
Arson incidents in the city have been relatively rare, with most years reporting either zero or one case. The highest number of arsons reported was 3 in both 2016 and 2017. Given the low frequency, it's difficult to establish a clear trend or percentage of state arsons. However, the rarity of these incidents suggests that arson is not a significant concern for the community.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. As the median income increased from $29,989 in 2013 to $36,749 in 2022, there was a corresponding decrease in overall property crime rates. This suggests that improved economic conditions may contribute to lower crime rates. Additionally, the slight decrease in population density from 2,760 per square mile in 2010 to 2,704 in 2022 coincided with the overall reduction in property crimes, potentially indicating that less crowded conditions may contribute to reduced criminal activity.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a continued gradual decline in overall property crime rates. Based on the current trends, we can expect burglaries to potentially decrease further to around 20 incidents per year, larceny-theft to stabilize around 300 cases annually, and motor vehicle thefts to remain relatively steady at approximately 25-30 incidents per year.
In summary, Newport has experienced a significant reduction in property crimes over the past decade, particularly in burglaries and larceny-thefts. This positive trend, coupled with modest economic improvements and stable population levels, suggests an overall enhancement in the quality of life and safety for residents. The city's law enforcement and community initiatives appear to be effective in curbing property crimes, although continued vigilance will be necessary to maintain and further improve these trends in the coming years.