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Property Crime Trends in Newman, Illinois: A Small City's Unique Arson Impact
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Newman, located in Illinois, presents an interesting case study in property crime trends. In 2022, the city reported a total of 6 property crimes. With a population of 1,493 in the same year, this small community has experienced notable fluctuations in both crime rates and population over recent years.
Burglary trends in the city show a single reported incident in 2022, representing 0.01% of the state's total burglaries. This translates to a rate of approximately 0.67 burglaries per 1,000 residents. Given the limited data available for a single year, it's challenging to discern a long-term trend. However, the low number suggests that burglary is not a prevalent issue in the community, though its impact on a small population can be significant.
Larceny-theft, with 4 reported cases in 2022, emerges as the most common property crime in the city. This equates to about 2.68 incidents per 1,000 residents. Interestingly, these cases represent 0% of the state's total larceny-thefts, indicating that the city's contribution to the state's overall larceny-theft statistics is minimal. The relatively higher occurrence of larceny-theft compared to other property crimes suggests it may be an area of focus for local law enforcement.
Motor vehicle theft in the city is represented by a single incident in 2022, mirroring the burglary rate at 0.67 per 1,000 residents. This case accounts for 0% of the state's total motor vehicle thefts, suggesting that this type of crime is rare in the community and has negligible impact on state-wide statistics.
Arson, with one reported case in 2022, also occurs at a rate of 0.67 per 1,000 residents. Notably, this single incident represents 0.15% of the state's total arson cases, a disproportionately high percentage given the city's small size. This could indicate that while arson is infrequent, its occurrence has a more significant impact on state-level statistics compared to other property crimes in the city.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a relationship between property crime rates and the city's changing demographics. The population has decreased from 1,569 in 2020 to 1,493 in 2022, a decline of about 4.8%. Concurrently, the percentage of owner-occupied housing has increased from 88% in 2020 to 91% in 2022. This rise in homeownership could potentially contribute to lower property crime rates, as communities with higher rates of owner-occupied housing often experience less property crime.
Projecting these trends forward, it's reasonable to anticipate that property crime rates in Newman may remain relatively stable or potentially decrease slightly over the next five years (up to 2029). The increasing rate of homeownership, if continued, could further contribute to community stability and potentially lower crime rates. However, the small population size means that even minor fluctuations in crime numbers could result in significant percentage changes.
In summary, Newman demonstrates a relatively low incidence of property crimes, with larceny-theft being the most common. The city's contribution to state-wide property crime statistics is minimal, with the exception of arson, which shows a disproportionate impact. The trends in homeownership and population decline may continue to influence property crime rates in the coming years, potentially maintaining or reducing the already low crime levels in this small Illinois community.
