Motor vehicle theft in the city remained consistently low throughout the observed period. There were no reported cases in 2010, and this trend continued through 2018. Consequently, the rate per 1,000 people and the percentage of state motor vehicle thefts remained at zero. This suggests that the city has maintained effective strategies to prevent this type of crime.

Arson incidents in the city were sporadic but generally low. There was 1 case reported in 2010 and 2012, representing 0.1% of state arson cases in those years. From 2013 to 2018, no arson cases were reported. The rate per 1,000 people for arson decreased from 1.22 in 2010 to 0 by 2018. This indicates that fire safety measures and arson prevention strategies may have been successful in the community.

Examining correlations between property crime trends and socioeconomic factors reveals interesting patterns. As the population density increased from 1,276 per square mile in 2010 to 1,978 in 2022, property crimes generally decreased. This suggests that increased urbanization did not lead to higher crime rates in this case. Additionally, the median income rose significantly from $37,524 in 2013 to $51,500 in 2022, coinciding with the overall reduction in property crimes. This could indicate that improved economic conditions may have contributed to lower crime rates.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a continuation of the low crime rates observed in recent years. Based on the strong downward trend from 2010 to 2018, it's projected that property crime incidents will likely remain in the single digits annually, with potential for further reductions. However, as the population continues to grow, maintaining these low rates may require ongoing community engagement and law enforcement efforts.

In summary, Newburg has demonstrated a remarkable improvement in property crime statistics over the observed period. The significant reductions in burglary, larceny-theft, and arson, coupled with the consistent absence of motor vehicle thefts, paint a picture of a community that has effectively addressed property crime issues. The correlation between rising incomes, increasing population density, and decreasing crime rates suggests that the city's economic growth may have played a role in enhancing public safety. As Newburg looks to the future, maintaining these positive trends will be crucial for the continued well-being and security of its residents.