Motor vehicle theft in the city has remained relatively low but showed some fluctuation. From 5 cases in 2010 to 4 in 2022, there was a 20% decrease. The rate per 1,000 people decreased from 0.56 in 2010 to 0.43 in 2022. However, the city's share of state motor vehicle thefts increased from 0.04% to 0.04% over this period, indicating that while the absolute numbers remained low, the city's contribution to state totals remained stable. This suggests that motor vehicle theft is not a significant concern for the community relative to other property crimes.

Arson cases in the city have been sporadic and low in number. From 4 cases in 2010, arson incidents fluctuated between 0 and 1 per year, with no reported cases in 2022. The rate per 1,000 people decreased from 0.45 in 2010 to 0 in 2022. The city's share of state arson cases varied widely, from 0.97% in 2010 to 0% in several years, including 2022. This erratic pattern makes it difficult to draw conclusive trends but suggests that arson is not a persistent problem in the community.

Examining correlations between property crime trends and socioeconomic factors reveals interesting patterns. As the median income increased from $28,589 in 2013 to $42,258 in 2022, a 47.81% rise, there was a corresponding decrease in overall property crime rates. This suggests that improved economic conditions may have contributed to reduced property crime. Additionally, the decrease in homeownership from 73% in 2013 to 66% in 2022 coincided with fluctuations in property crime rates, potentially indicating a complex relationship between housing stability and crime.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a potential stabilization or slight decrease in overall property crime rates. Based on the observed trends, burglaries are expected to continue their downward trajectory, potentially reaching fewer than 20 cases annually. Larceny theft may plateau or show a slight increase, possibly reaching around 180-190 cases per year. Motor vehicle theft is likely to remain low, potentially fluctuating between 3-6 cases annually. Arson cases are expected to remain sporadic and low, with years of zero incidents interspersed with occasional single cases.

In summary, Nashville, Georgia has shown resilience in managing property crime over the past decade. The significant reduction in burglaries, coupled with the moderate increase in larceny thefts, suggests a shifting landscape of property crime in the city. The correlation between rising median incomes and decreasing crime rates is particularly noteworthy, indicating that economic development may play a crucial role in crime prevention. As the city continues to grow and evolve, maintaining focus on economic opportunities and community-based crime prevention strategies will be key to sustaining and improving upon these positive trends in property crime reduction.