Motor vehicle theft trends showed more variability but an overall decrease. In 2010, there were 8 reported incidents, which dropped to a low of 1 in 2012, before rising again to 7 in 2022. The rate per 1,000 people decreased from 0.53 in 2010 to 0.44 in 2022. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts fluctuated, starting at 0.03% in 2010, reaching a peak of 0.08% in 2018 and 2020, before settling at 0.02% in 2022. This fluctuation suggests that while overall numbers remain low, targeted prevention efforts may be beneficial.

Arson cases in the city have been relatively rare, with the highest number reported in 2015 at 9 incidents. By 2022, there were no reported arson cases. The rate per 1,000 people peaked at 0.61 in 2015 and dropped to 0 by 2022. The city's proportion of state arsons varied significantly, from a high of 0.71% in 2015 to 0% in several years, including 2022. This trend indicates effective fire prevention and investigation efforts within the community.

Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals interesting patterns. As the median income increased from $68,635 in 2013 to $75,520 in 2022, there was a corresponding decrease in overall property crime rates. This suggests that improved economic conditions may contribute to reduced property crime. Additionally, the slight decrease in the percentage of owner-occupied housing from 63% in 2013 to 60% in 2022 doesn't appear to have negatively impacted property crime rates, which continued to decline during this period.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a potential continuation of the overall downward trend. Based on historical data, we might expect to see total property crimes decrease further to around 150-175 incidents annually by 2029. However, this prediction assumes current socio-economic conditions and law enforcement strategies remain relatively stable.

In summary, Morris has demonstrated a significant improvement in property crime rates across all categories over the past decade, despite a growing population. The most notable reductions were seen in burglaries and larceny-thefts, while motor vehicle thefts and arsons have remained at relatively low levels. These positive trends, coupled with rising median incomes, suggest a community that has become increasingly secure and prosperous. As the city moves forward, maintaining these positive trajectories will be crucial for continued community safety and well-being.