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Property Crime Trends in Millry, Alabama: A Small Town's Changing Landscape
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Millry, a small community in Alabama, has experienced notable changes in its property crime landscape over recent years. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes increased from 3 to 7, representing a 133.33% increase. During this same period, the population decreased from 2,918 to 2,429, a decline of 16.76%.
The burglary rate in the city has shown a significant increase. In 2010, there were no reported burglaries, but by 2022, there were 2 incidents. This translates to a rate of 0.82 burglaries per 1,000 residents in 2022. The city's contribution to state-wide burglary crimes also increased, reaching 0.02% in 2022. This trend suggests a growing concern for property security within the community, despite its small size.
Larceny-theft incidents have seen a moderate increase over the years. In 2010, there were 3 reported cases, which rose to 4 in 2022. This represents a 33.33% increase in larceny-theft crimes. The rate per 1,000 residents increased from 1.03 in 2010 to 1.65 in 2022. However, the city's contribution to state-wide larceny-theft remained relatively low at 0.01% in 2022. This trend indicates a slight uptick in minor property crimes, possibly reflecting changing economic conditions or social factors in the area.
Motor vehicle theft emerged as a new concern for the city. While there were no reported cases in 2010, one incident was recorded in 2022. This translates to a rate of 0.41 motor vehicle thefts per 1,000 residents in 2022. The city's contribution to state-wide motor vehicle theft stood at 0.01% in 2022. Although the numbers are small, the appearance of this crime type suggests a need for increased vigilance in vehicle security.
Arson data for the city is limited, with no reported cases in either 2010 or 2022. This absence of arson incidents is a positive aspect of the city's crime profile, indicating that fire-related property crimes are not a significant concern for the community.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. The increase in property crimes coincides with a period of population decline and fluctuating median income. For instance, the median income rose from $39,775 in 2013 to $53,090 in 2019, before declining to $42,028 in 2022. This economic volatility may have contributed to the increase in property crimes. Additionally, the slight decrease in homeownership from 89% in 2013 to 88% in 2022 could be a factor in the changing property crime landscape.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next seven years (up to 2029) suggests a potential continuation of the upward trend in property crimes, albeit at a slower rate. The model predicts that by 2029, the total number of property crimes could reach 9-10 incidents annually, representing a 28-43% increase from 2022 levels.
In summary, Millry has experienced a notable increase in property crimes from 2010 to 2022, particularly in burglaries and larceny-theft, despite a declining population. This trend, coupled with economic fluctuations and slight changes in homeownership rates, presents challenges for local law enforcement and community leaders. As the city moves forward, addressing these property crime trends while considering the broader socioeconomic context will be crucial for maintaining and improving the quality of life for its residents.
