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Property Crime Trends in Mentone, Alabama: A Small Town's Changing Landscape
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Mentone, a small town in Alabama, has experienced significant changes in its property crime landscape over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes increased from 2 to 9, representing a 350% increase. During this same period, the population decreased from 1,249 to 1,188, a 4.88% decline.
The burglary rate in the city has shown a notable increase. In 2010, there were no reported burglaries, but by 2022, there were 4 incidents. This translates to a rate of 3.37 burglaries per 1,000 residents in 2022. The percentage of state burglaries attributed to this city rose from 0% in 2010 to 0.04% in 2022. This increase, despite a declining population, suggests a growing concern for property security in the area.
Larceny-theft cases have doubled from 2 in 2010 to 4 in 2022. The rate per 1,000 residents increased from 1.60 in 2010 to 3.37 in 2022. However, the city's contribution to state-wide larceny-theft remained relatively low, increasing only from 0% to 0.01% over the 12-year period. This indicates that while larceny-theft has become more prevalent locally, it remains a small fraction of the state's total.
Motor vehicle theft emerged as a new concern in 2022, with one reported case. This translates to a rate of 0.84 thefts per 1,000 residents, contributing 0.01% to the state's total. The appearance of this crime type, previously unreported in 2010, suggests a need for increased vigilance in vehicle security.
Arson data shows no reported cases in either 2010 or 2022, maintaining a 0% contribution to state totals. This stability in arson rates is a positive aspect of the city's crime profile.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a strong inverse relationship between population density and property crime rates. As the population density decreased from 291 per square mile in 2010 to 277 in 2022, property crimes increased. This suggests that the declining population may have led to reduced community vigilance or changes in local dynamics that influenced crime rates.
Applying predictive models based on these trends, we can forecast that by 2029, property crime rates may continue to rise if current trends persist. The burglary rate could potentially reach 5-6 incidents per 1,000 residents, while larceny-theft might increase to 5-7 cases per 1,000 residents. Motor vehicle theft could see a slight increase to 1-2 cases per 1,000 residents.
In summary, Mentone has experienced a significant increase in property crimes over the past decade, particularly in burglaries and larceny-theft, despite a declining population. This trend suggests a need for enhanced community-based crime prevention strategies and increased law enforcement efforts to address these rising property crime rates in the coming years.
