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Property Crime Trends in McLouth, Kansas: A Decade of Remarkable Improvement
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
McLouth, Kansas, presents an intriguing case study in property crime trends. Over the past decade, this small city has experienced fluctuations in its total property crime numbers, with a notable overall decrease from 19 incidents in 2010 to zero reported cases in 2022. This represents a 100% reduction in property crimes. During the same period, the population saw a slight decrease from 2,635 in 2010 to 2,340 in 2022, a change of about 11.2%.
Burglary trends in the city show significant variability. In 2010, there were 2 burglaries reported, which increased to 5 in 2011, representing a 150% increase. However, by 2019, burglaries had decreased to 1 incident, and by 2022, no burglaries were reported. When examining burglaries per 1,000 residents, the rate fluctuated from 0.76 in 2010 to 1.80 in 2011, dropping to 0.40 per 1,000 in 2019, and finally to 0 in 2022. The city's contribution to state burglary figures ranged from 0.01% in 2010 to 0.04% in 2014 and 2015, before dropping to 0% in 2022. This trend suggests a significant improvement in burglary prevention or reporting within the community.
Larceny-theft incidents also showed a downward trend over time. From 16 cases in 2010, the number peaked at 27 in 2017 before sharply declining to just 1 case in 2019 and none in 2022. The rate per 1,000 residents followed a similar pattern, rising from 6.07 in 2010 to 10.46 in 2017, then falling to 0.40 in 2019 and 0 in 2022. The city's share of state larceny-theft incidents ranged from 0.03% to 0.06% between 2010 and 2017, dropping to 0% by 2019 and 2022. This dramatic reduction could indicate improved community vigilance or effective law enforcement strategies.
Motor vehicle theft in McLouth remained relatively low throughout the period. There was 1 incident reported in 2010, none in 2011 and 2014, and 1 again in 2015, 2017, and 2019. By 2022, no motor vehicle thefts were reported. The rate per 1,000 residents never exceeded 0.40, with most years showing zero incidents. The city's contribution to state motor vehicle theft figures ranged from 0% to 0.02%, indicating a minimal impact on state-wide statistics.
Arson incidents were consistently reported as zero throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2022. This suggests that arson has not been a significant concern for the community during this time frame.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and other factors reveals some interesting patterns. As the population density decreased from 4,573 per square mile in 2010 to 4,061 in 2022, there was a corresponding decrease in overall property crime rates. Additionally, the median income showed a general upward trend, rising from $54,769 in 2013 to $68,138 in 2022, which coincided with the reduction in property crimes. The percentage of owner-occupied housing also increased from 81% in 2013 to 86% in 2022, potentially contributing to the improved property crime statistics.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a continuation of the low crime rates observed in recent years. Given the zero incidents reported in 2022 and the overall downward trend, it's projected that McLouth will likely maintain very low to zero property crime rates in the coming years, barring any significant changes in socioeconomic conditions or other external factors.
In summary, McLouth has demonstrated a remarkable improvement in its property crime statistics over the past decade. The most significant discoveries include the complete elimination of reported property crimes by 2022, a trend that coincided with increasing median incomes and home ownership rates. These findings suggest that McLouth has become an increasingly safe community with effective crime prevention measures in place.
