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Property Crime Trends in McLeansboro: A Dramatic 92% Reduction
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
McLeansboro, located in Illinois, has experienced significant changes in its property crime landscape over recent years. From 2019 to 2022, the total number of property crimes dramatically decreased by 92.1%, from 38 to 3 incidents. This substantial reduction occurred while the population slightly declined by 6.9%, from 5,310 in 2019 to 4,945 in 2022.
Burglary rates have remained relatively stable, with 2 incidents reported in both 2019 and 2022. However, when considering the population change, the burglary rate per 1,000 people increased marginally from 0.38 in 2019 to 0.40 in 2022. Interestingly, despite the overall decrease in property crimes, burglaries maintained a consistent 0.01% of the state's total burglaries in both years. This suggests that while other property crimes in the city decreased, burglary remained a persistent issue relative to state trends.
Larceny-theft saw the most dramatic decrease, plummeting from 35 incidents in 2019 to just 1 in 2022, representing a 97.1% reduction. The rate per 1,000 people fell from 6.59 to 0.20 over this period. Moreover, the city's contribution to the state's larceny-theft incidents dropped from 0.02% to 0%, indicating a significant improvement relative to state-wide trends.
Motor vehicle theft in the city decreased from 1 incident in 2019 to 0 in 2022. This change reduced the rate per 1,000 people from 0.19 to 0 and eliminated the city's contribution to the state's motor vehicle theft statistics, which previously stood at 0.01% in 2019.
Arson rates remained at zero for both 2019 and 2022, with no reported incidents in either year. This consistency suggests that arson has not been a significant concern for the city during this period.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and other socio-economic factors reveals some interesting patterns. The decrease in property crimes coincided with a slight decrease in median income from $53,176 in 2019 to $52,545 in 2022. Additionally, the percentage of owner-occupied housing units decreased from 76% in 2019 to 70% in 2022. These trends suggest that the reduction in property crimes occurred despite potentially challenging economic conditions, which typically might be associated with increased crime rates.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a potential stabilization of the low crime rates achieved by 2022. If current trends continue, the city may maintain its low burglary rate and near-zero incidents of larceny-theft and motor vehicle theft. However, it's important to note that such low numbers may be difficult to reduce further, and any single incident could represent a significant percentage change given the small baseline.
In summary, McLeansboro has experienced a remarkable reduction in property crimes from 2019 to 2022, particularly in larceny-theft. This improvement occurred despite a slight population decrease and some economic challenges, suggesting effective crime prevention strategies or community factors at play. The maintenance of low burglary rates relative to state trends indicates an area for continued focus. As the city moves forward, sustaining these low crime rates while addressing persistent issues like burglary will be crucial for maintaining the safety and security of its residents.
