Loading Content...
Property Crime Trends in Mayodan: A Decade of Decline Amidst Population Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Mayodan, located in North Carolina, has experienced significant fluctuations in property crime rates over the past decade, alongside notable population changes. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes decreased by 31.8%, from 239 to 163 incidents. During this same period, the population increased by 3.6%, from 6,207 to 6,431 residents.
Burglary trends in the city have shown a substantial decline over time. In 2010, there were 24 reported burglaries, which decreased to 9 in 2022, representing a 62.5% reduction. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate fell from 3.87 to 1.40 per 1,000 residents. The city's share of state burglaries remained relatively stable, fluctuating between 0.04% and 0.13% of the state total. This significant decrease in burglaries, both in absolute numbers and relative to population, suggests improved home security measures or more effective law enforcement strategies in the area.
Larceny-theft incidents have also seen a notable decrease. In 2010, there were 212 reported cases, which dropped to 148 in 2022, a 30.2% reduction. The larceny-theft rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 34.15 to 23.01. The city's contribution to state larceny-theft cases decreased from 0.16% in 2010 to 0.12% in 2022. This downward trend in larceny-theft, despite population growth, indicates positive changes in community awareness or improved prevention strategies.
Motor vehicle theft trends have been more volatile. From 3 incidents in 2010, the number increased to 6 in 2022, a 100% increase. However, due to population growth, the rate per 1,000 residents only increased slightly from 0.48 to 0.93. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts fluctuated, reaching a high of 0.06% in 2020 before settling at 0.04% in 2022. This upward trend, though small in absolute numbers, may warrant attention from local law enforcement.
Arson incidents were consistently reported as zero throughout the observed period, indicating either an absence of such crimes or potential underreporting.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate inverse relationship between property crime rates and median income. As median income increased from $44,752 in 2013 to $51,024 in 2021, property crimes generally decreased. Additionally, there's a weak positive correlation between property crime rates and population density, with both showing overall decreases from 2010 to 2022.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we anticipate a continued gradual decrease in overall property crime rates. Burglary rates are expected to stabilize around 1.2 to 1.5 per 1,000 residents. Larceny-theft is projected to continue its downward trend, potentially reaching 20 incidents per 1,000 residents by 2029. Motor vehicle theft rates may plateau or slightly increase, hovering around 1 per 1,000 residents.
In summary, Mayodan has demonstrated a generally positive trend in property crime reduction over the past decade, particularly in burglary and larceny-theft categories. The slight increase in motor vehicle thefts, while concerning, remains relatively low. These trends, coupled with population growth and increasing median income, suggest an overall improvement in the city's safety and economic conditions. Continued focus on community-based crime prevention strategies and economic development could further enhance these positive trends in the coming years.
