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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Maud, Texas, a small urban area with a population of 2,213 as of 2022, has experienced notable fluctuations in property crime rates in recent years. The city saw a 27.78% decrease in total property crimes, from 18 incidents in 2021 to 13 in 2022. This reduction coincided with a 3.70% decrease in population during the same period, suggesting a potential correlation between population dynamics and crime rates.
Burglary trends in Maud show a significant increase, doubling from 2 incidents in 2021 to 4 in 2022. This rise translates to an increase from 0.87 burglaries per 1,000 people in 2021 to 1.81 per 1,000 people in 2022. The percentage of state burglaries attributed to the city also increased from 0.0% to 0.01%, indicating a disproportionate rise compared to state-wide trends. This uptick in burglaries contrasts with the overall decrease in property crimes, suggesting a shift in criminal activity patterns within the community.
Larceny-theft incidents in Maud saw a substantial decrease, dropping from 10 cases in 2021 to 6 in 2022, representing a 40% reduction. The rate per 1,000 people decreased from 4.35 in 2021 to 2.71 in 2022. The city's contribution to state-wide larceny-theft remained at 0.0% for both years, indicating that this decrease was in line with broader state trends. This significant reduction in larceny-theft appears to be a primary driver of the overall decrease in property crimes.
Motor vehicle theft in Maud experienced a notable decline, decreasing from 6 incidents in 2021 to 3 in 2022, a 50% reduction. The rate per 1,000 people fell from 2.61 in 2021 to 1.36 in 2022. The city's contribution to state-wide motor vehicle theft decreased from 0.01% to 0.0%, suggesting that this reduction outpaced the state average. This significant decrease in motor vehicle theft contributes substantially to the overall reduction in property crimes.
Arson incidents remained at zero for both 2021 and 2022, with the city maintaining a 0.0% contribution to state-wide arson cases. This stability in arson rates does not provide additional insight into the city's property crime trends.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. The decrease in property crimes from 2021 to 2022 coincided with a decrease in population density from 1,541 to 1,484 people per square mile. Additionally, the median income decreased from $58,942 to $52,710 during this period. These trends suggest a potential correlation between economic factors and property crime rates, with lower population density and reduced median income coinciding with fewer property crimes overall, despite the increase in burglaries.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a potential stabilization or slight decrease in overall property crime rates. Based on the recent trends, burglaries may continue to increase moderately, while larceny-theft and motor vehicle theft are likely to remain stable or decrease slightly. However, these predictions should be interpreted cautiously due to the limited data available and the complex nature of crime dynamics.
In summary, Maud has experienced a notable decrease in overall property crimes, driven primarily by reductions in larceny-theft and motor vehicle theft. However, the increase in burglaries presents a concern that may require targeted intervention. The correlations between property crime trends, population density, and economic factors highlight the complex interplay of socioeconomic conditions and criminal activity in the city. As Maud moves forward, monitoring these trends and implementing proactive measures will be crucial in maintaining and improving public safety.