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Property Crime Trends in Mascoutah, Illinois: A Decade of Significant Reduction
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Mascoutah, located in Illinois, has experienced significant changes in its property crime landscape over the past decade. The total number of property crimes fluctuated from 95 in 2010 to 34 in 2022, marking a substantial 64.2% decrease. This decline occurred alongside a population growth from 8,011 in 2010 to 9,674 in 2022, representing a 20.8% increase in residents.
Burglary trends in the city have shown notable variations over time. In 2010, there were 6 burglaries reported, which decreased to 4 in 2012, but then spiked to 9 in 2013 and 2015. By 2022, the number settled at 9 burglaries. When adjusting for population growth, the burglary rate per 1,000 people decreased from 0.75 in 2010 to 0.93 in 2022. Interestingly, the city's share of state burglaries increased from 0.01% in 2010 to 0.05% in 2022, indicating that while local burglaries decreased relative to population growth, they increased relative to state figures.
Larceny theft, the most common property crime in the city, displayed a downward trend. From 89 incidents in 2010, it dropped to 24 in 2022, a 73% decrease. The rate per 1,000 people fell from 11.11 in 2010 to 2.48 in 2022, suggesting a significant improvement in this area. However, the city's contribution to state larceny theft figures decreased from 0.05% in 2010 to 0.02% in 2022, indicating that the reduction in larceny theft was more pronounced locally than at the state level.
Motor vehicle theft in the city has remained relatively low, with only sporadic incidents reported. There were no reported cases in 2010, 2014, 2015, 2016, and 2017. The highest number reported was 4 in 2019, dropping to 1 in 2022. The rate per 1,000 people in 2022 was 0.10. The city's contribution to state motor vehicle theft figures has fluctuated, reaching 0.03% in 2019 before dropping to 0% in 2022.
Arson data for the city shows no reported incidents from 2010 to 2022, indicating that this particular crime has not been a significant issue for the community during this period.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and other demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. As the population density increased from 831 per square mile in 2010 to 1,003 in 2022, overall property crime rates decreased. This suggests that the growth in population density did not lead to an increase in property crimes. Additionally, the median income rose from $74,286 in 2013 to $76,921 in 2022, coinciding with the overall decrease in property crimes. This could indicate that improved economic conditions may have contributed to lower crime rates.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a continued downward trajectory. Based on the historical data and current trends, it's projected that overall property crime rates could decrease by an additional 15-20% by 2029. Burglary rates are expected to stabilize around 8-10 incidents per year, while larceny theft could potentially drop below 20 incidents annually.
In summary, Mascoutah has experienced a significant reduction in property crimes over the past decade, despite population growth. The most notable improvements have been in larceny theft, while burglary rates have remained relatively stable. The absence of arson incidents and low motor vehicle theft rates contribute to a positive overall property crime picture. These trends, coupled with increasing population density and median income, suggest that the city has been effective in managing and reducing property crime. As the community continues to grow and evolve, maintaining these positive trends will be crucial for ensuring the safety and security of its residents.
