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Property Crime Trends in Mascotte, Florida: A Decade of Change Amidst Population Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Mascotte, a city in Florida, has experienced significant changes in property crime rates alongside substantial population growth from 2010 to 2022. The total number of property crimes increased by 12.5%, from 80 to 90 incidents, while the population grew by 34.3%, from 8,617 to 11,575 residents. This demographic shift has influenced the city's crime dynamics in various ways.
Burglary trends in Mascotte have shown considerable volatility over the 12-year period. The number of burglaries increased by 30.4%, from 23 in 2010 to 30 in 2022, with a peak of 74 incidents in 2015. Despite this overall increase, the burglary rate per 1,000 residents decreased slightly from 2.67 in 2010 to 2.59 in 2022. Notably, Mascotte's share of state burglaries rose dramatically from 0.03% to 0.3%, indicating a significant increase in the city's contribution to state burglary statistics.
Larceny theft trends in Mascotte have remained relatively stable. The number of incidents increased marginally from 52 in 2010 to 53 in 2022, a 1.9% rise. However, when accounting for population growth, the rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 6.03 to 4.58. The city's share of state larceny thefts grew from 0.02% to 0.07%, suggesting a growing proportion of state incidents occurring in Mascotte despite the local decrease in rate.
Motor vehicle theft in Mascotte has shown a moderate increase, rising from 5 incidents in 2010 to 7 in 2022, a 40% increase. The rate per 1,000 residents remained relatively stable, changing from 0.58 to 0.60. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts increased from 0.02% to 0.1%, indicating a growing significance in state statistics.
Arson incidents in Mascotte have been infrequent, with most years reporting zero cases. The highest recorded number was 1 incident in 2015, 2016, 2018, and 2019. Due to the low frequency, establishing meaningful trends or rates per 1,000 residents is challenging. The city's contribution to state arson statistics has fluctuated between 0% and 0.16%, with no clear trend.
An examination of correlations reveals a strong relationship between population density and property crime rates in Mascotte. As the population density increased from 668 per square mile in 2010 to 898 in 2022, property crime rates initially rose but then stabilized, suggesting that the city has adapted to manage crime despite increased density. Median income showed a notable increase from $41,792 in 2013 to $54,443 in 2022, which correlates with periods of lower property crime rates, particularly in recent years.
Based on these trends, predictive models project that by 2029, Mascotte may experience a slight increase in overall property crimes to approximately 95-100 incidents annually. Burglaries are expected to remain stable or slightly decrease, while larceny thefts may see a modest increase in line with population growth. Motor vehicle thefts could potentially rise to 8-9 incidents per year.
In conclusion, Mascotte has demonstrated resilience in managing property crime rates despite significant population growth. The most striking trend is the city's increasing share of state crime statistics, particularly in burglaries and motor vehicle thefts. This suggests that while local crime rates have remained relatively stable, Mascotte is becoming a more significant contributor to overall state crime figures, possibly due to its rapid growth outpacing other areas in Florida.
