Arson cases, while less frequent, still pose a concern for the community. In 2020, Markham reported 5 arson incidents, or about 0.4 cases per 1,000 residents. These cases represented 0.39% of the state's total arson incidents, which is significant for a city of its size. The presence of arson cases, even in small numbers, can have serious implications for public safety and property values.

When examining potential correlations between property crime and demographic factors, we observe that the city has experienced a decline in population density from 2,328 people per square mile in 2020 to 2,201 in 2022. Concurrently, the median income has slightly decreased from $47,037.50 in 2020 to $45,088 in 2022. The percentage of owner-occupied housing has remained relatively stable, decreasing slightly from 70% in 2020 to 69% in 2022. These trends could potentially influence property crime rates, but without multi-year crime data, it's challenging to establish strong correlations.

The racial composition of Markham has seen some changes, with the Black population decreasing from 75% in 2020 to 71% in 2022, while the Hispanic population has increased from 13% to 14% during the same period. The White population has remained stable at 12%. These demographic shifts may have implications for community dynamics and potentially crime rates, but again, more data would be needed to draw definitive conclusions.

Predicting future property crime trends for Markham is challenging due to the limited historical data available. However, based on the population decline and slight decrease in median income, it's possible that property crime rates could remain stable or potentially increase in the next five years (up to 2029) if economic conditions do not improve. The city may need to focus on strategies to address motor vehicle theft in particular, as it appears to be a significant issue relative to the city's size and contribution to state statistics.

In summary, Markham faces notable challenges with property crime, particularly in the areas of motor vehicle theft and burglary. The available data from 2020 suggests that these crime categories are disproportionately high given the city's population. While comprehensive trend analysis is limited by data availability, the demographic changes and economic indicators observed between 2020 and 2022 may influence future crime rates. City officials and law enforcement may need to develop targeted strategies to address these property crime issues, with a particular focus on preventing motor vehicle thefts and burglaries to improve public safety and community well-being in Markham.