Loading Content...
Property Crime Trends in Maplesville, Alabama: A Decade of Resilience Amid Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Maplesville in Alabama presents an interesting case study in property crime trends over the past decade. From 2011 to 2022, the total number of property crimes fluctuated significantly, peaking at 39 in 2012 and reaching a low of 12 in 2018, before settling at 15 in 2022. This represents a 6.25% decrease in property crimes from 2011 to 2022. During the same period, the population grew from 3,165 in 2011 to 3,733 in 2022, a 17.9% increase.
The burglary trend shows a notable decline over time. In 2011, there were 4 burglaries, which peaked at 12 in 2013, and then decreased back to 4 in 2022. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate per 1,000 people decreased from 1.26 in 2011 to 1.07 in 2022, a 15.1% reduction. Interestingly, despite this decrease, the city's share of state burglaries increased from 0.01% in 2011 to 0.04% in 2022, suggesting a potentially more significant decline in burglaries at the state level.
Larceny-theft incidents also showed fluctuations. Starting at 8 cases in 2011, it peaked at 22 in both 2012 and 2013, before decreasing to 11 in 2022. The rate per 1,000 people decreased from 2.53 in 2011 to 2.95 in 2022, a 16.6% reduction. The city's share of state larceny-theft cases doubled from 0.01% to 0.02% over this period, indicating that the city's reduction in larceny-theft may not have been as pronounced as the state's overall reduction.
Motor vehicle theft showed a dramatic decline. From 4 cases in 2011, it dropped to zero in 2022. The rate per 1,000 people fell from 1.26 in 2011 to 0 in 2022, a 100% reduction. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts also decreased from 0.05% to 0%, suggesting a significant improvement in this area compared to state trends.
Arson data is limited, with only two data points available: 0 cases in both 2011 and 2022. This consistency suggests that arson has not been a significant issue in the city during this period.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate inverse relationship between property crime and population density. As the population density increased from 921 per square mile in 2011 to 1,087 in 2022, property crimes generally decreased. Additionally, there seems to be a weak positive correlation between the percentage of white residents and property crime rates. As the white population percentage decreased slightly from 73% in 2021 to 70% in 2022, property crimes increased marginally from 12 to 15.
Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's projected that by 2029 (five years from now), property crimes in Maplesville may stabilize around 14-16 cases annually. Burglaries are expected to remain steady at 4-5 cases per year, while larceny-theft might slightly increase to 12-13 cases. Motor vehicle theft is predicted to remain very low, possibly at 0-1 cases per year.
In summary, Maplesville has experienced a general decline in property crimes over the past decade, particularly in motor vehicle theft, despite population growth. This trend suggests improving safety conditions in the city. However, the slight increase in the city's share of state crime percentages for some categories indicates that while improving, the city's progress may not be as rapid as the state's overall crime reduction efforts. The relationship between demographic changes and crime rates presents an interesting area for further study in Maplesville's ongoing development and community safety initiatives.
