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Property Crime Trends in Lyndhurst, Ohio: A Stable Community with Declining Offenses
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Lyndhurst, located in Ohio, presents an intriguing case study in property crime trends. From 2015 to 2022, the city experienced a notable decrease in total property crimes, falling from 188 to 138, representing a 26.6% reduction. This decline occurred against a backdrop of population fluctuation, with the city's population decreasing slightly from 13,786 in 2015 to 13,952 in 2022, a modest 1.2% increase.
Burglary rates in the city have shown a significant downward trend over the years. In 2015, there were 28 reported burglaries, which decreased to just 9 in 2022, marking a 67.9% reduction. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate fell from 2.03 per 1,000 residents in 2015 to 0.65 per 1,000 in 2022. The city's share of state burglaries has remained relatively low, fluctuating between 0.03% and 0.07% during this period. This substantial decrease in burglaries suggests improved home security measures or more effective law enforcement strategies in the city.
Larceny-theft, the most common property crime in the city, also exhibited a declining trend. The number of incidents decreased from 151 in 2015 to 124 in 2022, a 17.9% reduction. The rate per 1,000 residents dropped from 10.95 in 2015 to 8.89 in 2022. Interestingly, despite this decrease, the city's share of state larceny-theft incidents remained relatively stable, ranging from 0.11% to 0.15% over the years. This suggests that while the city has made progress in reducing larceny-theft, it has maintained its relative position within the state.
Motor vehicle theft trends in the city have been more volatile. From 9 incidents in 2015, the number dropped to zero in 2018 and 2019, but then spiked to 24 in 2020 before decreasing to 5 in 2022. The rate per 1,000 residents fluctuated accordingly, from 0.65 in 2015 to a peak of 1.74 in 2020, before settling at 0.36 in 2022. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts has varied widely, from 0% in some years to a high of 0.17% in 2020. This volatility might indicate changing patterns in criminal activity or law enforcement focus.
Arson cases in the city have remained low but variable. The number of incidents ranged from 0 to 2 per year, with no clear trend. The rate per 1,000 residents has consequently remained below 0.15 throughout the period. The city's share of state arson cases has fluctuated between 0% and 0.15%, indicating that arson is not a significant issue in the city compared to other types of property crime.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. There appears to be a moderate inverse relationship between median income and property crime rates. As the median income increased from $76,627 in 2013 to $82,322 in 2021, before dropping to $75,395 in 2022, property crime rates generally decreased. This suggests that higher income levels might contribute to lower crime rates, possibly due to better security measures or reduced economic motivations for property crimes.
The racial composition of the city has also seen changes that correlate with property crime trends. As the white population percentage decreased from 89% in 2013 to 78% in 2022, and the black population increased from 7% to 14% over the same period, property crime rates generally declined. This suggests that the city's increasing diversity has not negatively impacted property crime rates, and may even have contributed to their reduction.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a continued gradual decline in overall property crime rates. Based on current trends, burglaries and larceny-theft are expected to decrease further, while motor vehicle theft rates may stabilize at current levels. Arson cases are likely to remain low and sporadic.
In summary, Lyndhurst has demonstrated a promising trend of decreasing property crime rates over the past several years, particularly in burglaries and larceny-theft. This improvement has occurred alongside demographic changes, including increasing diversity and fluctuating median income levels. The city's ability to maintain low crime rates while undergoing these changes speaks to effective law enforcement strategies and community resilience. As the city moves forward, maintaining these positive trends will be crucial for the continued safety and well-being of its residents.
