Motor vehicle theft in the city has remained relatively stable with some fluctuations. In 2010, there were 4 reported cases, which remained the same in 2022. However, considering the population increase, the rate per 1,000 people actually decreased from 0.36 to 0.31. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts has consistently remained low at 0.01% or less throughout the period. This stability in motor vehicle theft rates, despite population growth, suggests effective prevention measures or a lack of opportunity for this type of crime in the area.

Arson cases in Los Fresnos have been rare, with the highest number reported in 2010 at 3 incidents. Since 2015, there have been no reported arson cases. The city's contribution to state arson incidents has consequently dropped from 0.07% in 2010 to 0% in recent years. This elimination of arson cases is a positive trend for community safety and property protection.

Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. The city's population density increased from 2,681 per square mile in 2010 to 3,118 in 2022, coinciding with the overall decrease in property crimes. This suggests that increased urbanization may have led to improved surveillance and community vigilance. Additionally, the median income rose from $42,901 in 2013 to $46,915 in 2022, which could contribute to reduced property crime rates as economic conditions improved.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a potential continuation of the overall decreasing trend in property crimes. Burglaries are expected to remain low, possibly stabilizing around 3-5 incidents annually. Larceny-theft may see a slight increase to around 110-120 cases per year, reflecting the gradual upward trend observed. Motor vehicle theft is projected to remain stable at 4-6 incidents annually. Arson cases are expected to remain at zero or very close to it, based on the recent history.

In summary, Los Fresnos has demonstrated a generally positive trend in property crime rates over the past decade, particularly in reducing burglaries and eliminating arson cases. The slight increase in larceny-theft, when viewed in context with population growth, does not significantly impact the overall improving crime situation. These trends, coupled with demographic changes such as increasing population density and median income, suggest a community that is becoming safer and more economically stable. As the city continues to grow, maintaining these positive trends will be crucial for ensuring the continued safety and well-being of its residents.