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Property Crime Trends in Landover Hills: A Decade of Fluctuations and Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Landover Hills, Maryland, is a small community experiencing notable changes in its property crime landscape. From 2010 to 2019, the total number of property crimes fluctuated, starting at 34 in 2010, peaking at 91 in 2018, and ending at 77 in 2019, representing an overall increase of 126.47%. During this same period, the population grew from 3,888 to 3,884, a slight decrease of 0.10%.
Burglary trends in the city show significant variability. In 2010, there were 17 burglaries, which dropped to a low of 4 in both 2014 and 2015, before rising again to 20 in 2018. This represents a 17.65% increase from 2010 to 2018. The burglary rate per 1,000 residents fluctuated accordingly, from 4.37 in 2010 to 5.19 in 2018. The city's share of state burglaries also varied dramatically, from 0.04% in 2014 and 2015 to a high of 0.23% in 2018. This volatility suggests inconsistent local factors influencing burglary rates.
Larceny-theft incidents showed an overall upward trend. Starting at 14 cases in 2010, it reached a peak of 64 in 2019, marking a 357.14% increase. The rate per 1,000 residents grew from 3.60 in 2010 to 16.48 in 2019. The city's proportion of state larceny-thefts also increased from 0.04% in 2010 to 0.21% in 2019. This substantial rise in larceny-theft suggests a growing concern for the community and may indicate a need for targeted prevention strategies.
Motor vehicle theft exhibited fluctuations over the decade. From 3 incidents in 2010, it peaked at 15 in 2018, before decreasing to 10 in 2019, resulting in a 233.33% overall increase. The rate per 1,000 residents rose from 0.77 in 2010 to 2.57 in 2019. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts varied considerably, from 0.05% in 2010 and 2014 to 0.28% in 2018. These variations might reflect changing opportunities or shifting criminal focus within the area.
Arson data for the city is limited, with only one recorded incident in 2010, representing 0.22% of state arsons. No arsons were reported in subsequent years, suggesting either effective prevention or potential underreporting.
There appears to be a correlation between property crime trends and population density. As the population density increased from 10,565 per square mile in 2019 to 11,797 in 2022, there was a corresponding rise in overall property crime incidents. Additionally, the median income growth from $61,739 in 2013 to $72,292 in 2022 coincided with fluctuations in property crime rates, suggesting a complex relationship between economic factors and criminal activity.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we anticipate a continued upward trend in overall property crimes. Larceny-theft is expected to remain the predominant form of property crime, potentially reaching 80-90 incidents annually. Burglaries and motor vehicle thefts may stabilize or show moderate increases, with projected ranges of 20-25 and 12-18 incidents per year, respectively.
In summary, Landover Hills has experienced a significant increase in property crimes over the past decade, particularly in larceny-theft. The fluctuations in different crime categories, coupled with demographic changes, suggest a dynamic and evolving security landscape. As the community continues to grow and change, local authorities may need to adapt their strategies to address these trends effectively and ensure the safety and well-being of residents.
