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Property Crime Trends in Lake Waukomis: A Decade of Fluctuation and Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Lake Waukomis, located in Missouri, has experienced notable changes in property crime rates and population growth over the past decade. From 2010 to 2018, the total number of property crimes fluctuated, peaking at 19 incidents in 2014 before dropping to zero reported cases in 2018. During this same period, the population grew from 1,684 in 2010 to 2,271 in 2022, representing a significant increase of about 34.9%.
Burglary rates in the city have shown considerable variation over the years. In 2010, there was 1 reported burglary, which remained consistent in 2011 and 2013. However, in 2012, 2014, and 2016, no burglaries were reported. The rate peaked in 2017 with 2 incidents. When considering the population trends, the burglary rate per 1,000 people decreased from 0.59 in 2010 to 1.01 in 2017, despite the higher number of incidents. The city's contribution to state burglary statistics remained minimal, with the highest percentage (0.01%) recorded in 2017.
Larceny-theft has been the most prevalent property crime in the city. The number of incidents fluctuated from 7 in 2010 to a high of 17 in 2014, before decreasing to 8 in 2017 and zero in 2018. The rate per 1,000 people varied accordingly, peaking at 9.99 in 2014 and dropping to 4.03 in 2017. The city's contribution to state larceny-theft statistics remained relatively constant at 0.01% for most years, with a slight increase to 0.02% in 2014.
Motor vehicle theft showed an interesting trend, with no reported incidents in 2010, 2011, 2012, and 2015. However, there was a noticeable increase from 2013 to 2017, with the number of thefts rising from 1 to 3. This resulted in a rate increase from 0.57 per 1,000 people in 2013 to 1.51 per 1,000 in 2017. The city's contribution to state motor vehicle theft statistics also increased, reaching 0.02% in 2016 and 2017.
Arson incidents were consistently reported as zero throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2018, indicating that this particular crime has not been a significant issue for the city.
There appears to be a moderate correlation between property crime rates and population density. As the population density increased from 5,730 per square mile in 2010 to 7,728 in 2022, there was an initial increase in property crimes, followed by a decrease. This suggests that while population growth may have initially contributed to higher crime rates, other factors likely influenced the subsequent decline.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a potential stabilization or slight decrease in overall property crime rates. This prediction is based on the observed downward trend in recent years and assumes that current socio-economic conditions and law enforcement strategies remain relatively constant.
In summary, Lake Waukomis has experienced fluctuating property crime rates over the past decade, with larceny-theft being the most common offense. The city has seen a significant population growth, which initially corresponded with an increase in some property crimes, particularly motor vehicle theft. However, recent years have shown a decline in overall property crime rates, suggesting improved safety measures or changing community dynamics. As the city continues to grow, maintaining this downward trend in property crimes will be crucial for ensuring the safety and well-being of its residents.
