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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Kingston, located in Georgia, presents an interesting case study in property crime trends. From 2011 to 2022, the city experienced significant fluctuations in both property crime rates and population. The total number of property crimes varied considerably, peaking at 20 incidents in 2015 and dropping to zero reported cases in 2022. Over this same period, the population decreased from 5,865 in 2011 to 4,665 in 2022, a decline of approximately 20.5%.
Burglary trends in the city show a notable decrease over time. In 2011, there were 4 burglaries reported, which represented 0.01% of the state's total. This equated to approximately 0.68 burglaries per 1,000 residents. By 2015, the number increased to 7 burglaries, or 0.03% of the state's total, translating to about 1.38 burglaries per 1,000 residents. However, from 2016 to 2022, no burglaries were reported, indicating a significant improvement in this area of property crime.
Larceny theft trends followed a more varied pattern. In 2011, there were 3 reported cases, representing less than 0.01% of the state's total. This equated to about 0.51 thefts per 1,000 residents. The highest number of larceny thefts was recorded in 2018 with 15 incidents, or 0.02% of the state's total, equivalent to approximately 3.25 thefts per 1,000 residents. By 2022, reported larceny thefts had dropped to zero, showing a substantial improvement in recent years.
Motor vehicle theft in the city remained relatively low throughout the period. In 2011, there were 2 reported cases, representing 0.02% of the state's total, or about 0.34 thefts per 1,000 residents. The number fluctuated slightly over the years, with only 1 case reported in 2015 and 2020, and zero cases in other years including 2022. This suggests that motor vehicle theft has not been a significant ongoing issue for the community.
Arson incidents were rare in the city, with only one reported case in 2020, representing 0.5% of the state's total. This single incident equated to approximately 0.22 arsons per 1,000 residents. In all other years from 2011 to 2022, no arson cases were reported, indicating that this is not a persistent problem for the community.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. As the population density decreased from 4,659 people per square mile in 2011 to 3,706 in 2022, there was a general trend of decreasing property crime rates. This suggests that lower population density may be associated with reduced property crime in this city.
The median income showed some correlation with property crime rates. As the median income increased from $58,622 in 2013 to $69,013 in 2017, property crime rates initially rose but then began to decline. This could indicate that improved economic conditions may have contributed to the reduction in property crime over time.
Interestingly, as the percentage of owner-occupied housing increased from 78% in 2015 to 91% in 2022, property crime rates generally decreased. This suggests that higher rates of homeownership might be associated with lower property crime rates in the city.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a continuation of the recent positive trends. Based on the significant decrease in reported property crimes from 2018 to 2022, it is projected that the city will likely maintain very low property crime rates, potentially averaging between 0-5 incidents per year. However, this prediction assumes that current socio-economic conditions and law enforcement strategies remain relatively stable.
In summary, Kingston has demonstrated a remarkable improvement in property crime rates over the past decade. The most significant discoveries include the complete elimination of reported burglaries since 2016, a substantial reduction in larceny thefts, and consistently low rates of motor vehicle theft and arson. These positive trends, coupled with increasing homeownership rates and stable median incomes, suggest that the city has made significant strides in creating a safer community for its residents. As the city moves forward, maintaining these low crime rates will likely be a priority to ensure continued safety and quality of life for its inhabitants.