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Property Crime Trends in Kingsburg: A Decade of Significant Improvement
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Kingsburg, located in California, has experienced significant changes in property crime rates over the past decade, alongside notable population growth. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes decreased by 46.1%, from 458 to 247 incidents. During this same period, the population increased by 11%, from 13,454 to 14,936 residents.
Burglary rates in the city have shown a considerable decline over time. In 2010, there were 128 burglaries, which dropped to 66 in 2022, representing a 48.4% decrease. When adjusted for population, the rate fell from 9.5 burglaries per 1,000 people in 2010 to 4.4 per 1,000 in 2022. Despite this decline, the city's share of state burglaries remained relatively stable, fluctuating between 0.04% and 0.09% over the years. This suggests that while local efforts may have contributed to reducing burglaries, the city's performance relative to the state has not significantly changed.
Larceny theft incidents also decreased substantially, from 253 in 2010 to 140 in 2022, a 44.7% reduction. The rate per 1,000 residents dropped from 18.8 to 9.4 over this period. The city's contribution to state larceny theft figures decreased from 0.05% in 2010 to 0.03% in 2022, indicating that the local reduction outpaced the state average. This improvement suggests effective local strategies in combating larceny theft.
Motor vehicle theft trends showed more volatility but ultimately decreased. From 77 incidents in 2010, it dropped to 41 in 2022, a 46.8% decrease. The rate per 1,000 residents fell from 5.7 to 2.7. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts fluctuated between 0.02% and 0.07%, ending at 0.03% in 2022. This indicates that while progress has been made, motor vehicle theft remains a concern that requires ongoing attention.
Arson cases in the city have been relatively low throughout the period, with a peak of 4 incidents in 2017 and no reported cases in 2015 and 2022. The rate per 1,000 residents remained below 0.3 throughout. The city's contribution to state arson figures varied between 0% and 0.06%, suggesting that arson is not a significant issue compared to other property crimes.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate inverse relationship between median income and property crime rates. As median income increased from $63,508 in 2013 to $73,868 in 2022, property crime rates generally decreased. Additionally, the slight increase in homeownership rates from 62% in 2013 to 69% in 2022 coincided with the overall reduction in property crimes, suggesting a potential link between community stability and lower crime rates.
Applying predictive models based on current trends, it's projected that by 2029 (five years from now), property crime rates in the city could further decrease by approximately 15-20%. This forecast suggests a continuation of the overall downward trend in property crime, potentially reaching around 200-210 total incidents annually.
In conclusion, Kingsburg has made significant strides in reducing property crime rates across all categories over the past decade, outpacing its population growth. The consistent decline in crime rates, coupled with increases in median income and homeownership, points to improving community safety and stability. While challenges remain, particularly in areas like motor vehicle theft, the overall trend suggests a positive outlook for the city's future safety and security landscape.
