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Property Crime Trends in Kimmswick, Missouri: A Decade of Minimal Incidents
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Kimmswick, located in Missouri, presents a unique case study in property crime trends. Over the years from 2010 to 2019, the city experienced minimal property crime, with only one year, 2015, showing any recorded incidents. During this period, the population fluctuated, starting at 220 in 2010, declining to 197 by 2019, and then significantly increasing to 313 by 2022, representing a 42.27% growth over the entire period.
The burglary trend in the city is characterized by a single incident in 2015, with no other reported cases throughout the decade. This isolated event resulted in a rate of 5.38 burglaries per 1,000 residents for that year. However, with a population of 186 in 2015, this single incident had a disproportionate impact on the per capita rate. The percentage of state burglaries attributed to the city remained at 0% for all other years, indicating that this was an anomaly rather than a pattern.
Larceny-theft followed a similar pattern, with two reported cases in 2015 and no incidents in any other year. This resulted in a rate of 10.75 larceny-thefts per 1,000 residents in 2015. As with burglary, the city's contribution to state-wide larceny-theft remained at 0% for all years except 2015, suggesting that property crime is not a persistent issue in the community.
Motor vehicle theft and arson both show no reported incidents throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2019. This absence of these crimes indicates a consistently safe environment in terms of these specific property crime categories. The city's contribution to state-wide motor vehicle theft and arson remained at 0% throughout the decade.
Given the sporadic nature of property crime in the city, with only one year showing any incidents, it is challenging to draw meaningful correlations between crime trends and other socioeconomic factors. The isolated nature of the 2015 incidents does not provide sufficient data to establish strong relationships with population density, median income, or ownership percentages.
Applying predictive models to forecast future property crime trends in this city is problematic due to the lack of consistent historical data. The single year with reported crimes (2015) is an outlier that does not provide a reliable basis for prediction. However, based on the overall trend of zero reported property crimes in most years, it is reasonable to project that the city will likely continue to experience very low crime rates in the coming years, barring any significant changes in local conditions.
In summary, Kimmswick demonstrates an exceptionally low property crime profile. The isolated incidents in 2015 stand out as an anomaly in an otherwise crime-free decade. This pattern suggests a generally safe and secure community, which is particularly noteworthy given the significant population growth in recent years. The city's ability to maintain such low crime rates despite population changes is a positive indicator for its future safety and livability.
