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Property Crime Trends in Hudson, Texas: A Decade of Fluctuations and Economic Correlations
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Hudson, Texas, a small urban area covering 5.07 square miles, has experienced notable fluctuations in property crime rates alongside steady population growth over the past decade. From 2010 to 2020, the total number of property crimes decreased by 21.3%, from 108 to 85 incidents, while the population increased by 10.5%, from 9,264 to 10,240 residents.
Burglary rates in the city have shown a significant downward trend over time. In 2010, there were 49 burglaries, which decreased to 32 by 2020, representing a 34.7% reduction. When adjusted for population growth, the burglary rate per 1,000 residents fell from 5.29 in 2010 to 3.13 in 2020, a 40.8% decrease. The city's share of state burglaries remained relatively stable, fluctuating between 0.01% and 0.05% of the state total. This decline in burglaries, despite population growth, suggests improved security measures or changes in local law enforcement strategies.
Larceny-theft incidents have shown more volatility. The number of cases dropped from 54 in 2010 to 48 in 2020, an 11.1% decrease. However, there were significant fluctuations, with a peak of 80 cases in 2014 and a low of 8 cases in 2016. The rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 5.83 in 2010 to 4.69 in 2020, a 19.6% reduction. The city's contribution to state larceny-theft cases remained minimal, consistently at or below 0.02%. These fluctuations may indicate changing patterns of opportunistic crime or varying effectiveness of prevention measures.
Motor vehicle theft in the city has remained relatively low, with some fluctuation. From 5 cases in 2010, it dropped to 0 in 2013 and 2018, before returning to 5 cases in 2020. The rate per 1,000 residents in 2020 was 0.49, almost identical to the 0.54 rate in 2010. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts has consistently been at or below 0.01%, indicating that this crime type is not a significant issue compared to state levels.
Arson incidents have been rare in the city, with only one reported case in 2011, representing 0.03% of state arsons that year. In all other years from 2010 to 2020, no arson cases were reported. This consistently low rate suggests that arson is not a prevalent concern in the community.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. The decline in property crimes from 2010 to 2020 coincided with a significant increase in median income, rising from $50,159 in 2013 to $65,154 in 2020, a 29.9% increase. This suggests that improving economic conditions may have contributed to reduced property crime rates. Additionally, the percentage of owner-occupied housing decreased from 72% in 2013 to 65% in 2020, which could potentially influence property crime trends, although the correlation is not strongly evident in the data.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends over the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a potential stabilization or slight decrease in overall property crime rates. Based on the historical data and current trends, we might expect to see burglary rates continue to decline slightly, while larceny-theft and motor vehicle theft rates may remain relatively stable or show modest fluctuations.
In summary, Hudson has experienced a general downward trend in property crimes over the past decade, particularly in burglaries, despite population growth. This positive trend, coupled with rising median incomes, suggests an improving quality of life for residents. However, the fluctuations in certain crime categories, particularly larceny-theft, indicate that ongoing vigilance and adaptive crime prevention strategies remain important for maintaining community safety and security.
