Motor vehicle theft showed a brief spike in 2011 with two reported cases, equating to a rate of 24.39 per 1,000 residents. This represented 0.02% of the state's motor vehicle thefts for that year. No other incidents were reported in the available data, indicating that this type of crime is not a persistent issue in the city.

Arson cases were rare, with only one incident reported in 2010. This single case represented 0.1% of the state's arson incidents for that year, a surprisingly high percentage given the city's small size. No further arson cases were reported in subsequent years.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a weak inverse relationship between population density and property crime incidents. As the population density decreased from 394 per square mile in 2010 to 205 in 2017, property crimes became less frequent. However, this correlation is not strong enough to draw definitive conclusions.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) is challenging due to the low number of incidents and the inconsistent pattern observed. However, based on the recent trend of zero reported property crimes from 2017 to 2020, it's reasonable to project that property crime rates will likely remain very low or at zero for the foreseeable future, assuming no significant changes in local conditions or law enforcement strategies.

In summary, Howardville has experienced minimal property crime over the past decade, with sporadic incidents of burglary, larceny-theft, motor vehicle theft, and arson. The most notable year for property crime was 2011, which saw a spike across multiple categories. Since then, the city has seen a substantial decrease in reported incidents, with no property crimes recorded from 2017 to 2020. This trend, combined with the recent population growth, suggests that Howardville may be becoming increasingly safe in terms of property crime, though continued monitoring and community engagement will be crucial to maintain this positive trajectory.