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Property Crime Trends in Holyrood, Kansas: A Small City's Remarkable Transformation
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Holyrood, located in Kansas, presents an intriguing case study in property crime trends. With a population of 620 in 2022, this small community has experienced notable fluctuations in both its population and crime rates over the years. The total number of property crimes decreased dramatically from 3 in 2011 to 0 in both 2015 and 2019, representing a 100% reduction. This significant drop occurred while the population grew from 509 in 2011 to 570 in 2019, an increase of about 12%.
Analyzing the burglary trends, we observe a complete elimination of reported incidents. In 2011, there were 2 burglaries, which equated to approximately 3.93 burglaries per 1,000 residents. This figure represented 0.01% of the state's total burglaries. However, by 2015 and 2019, no burglaries were reported, indicating a 100% decrease. This improvement suggests enhanced community vigilance or effective law enforcement strategies.
Larceny-theft followed a similar pattern of improvement. In 2011, there was 1 reported case, translating to about 1.96 incidents per 1,000 residents. The city's contribution to the state's larceny-theft cases was negligible at 0.0%. By 2015 and 2019, larceny-theft incidents dropped to zero, marking a 100% decrease. This trend implies a strengthening of property security measures within the community.
Motor vehicle theft data shows a consistently positive situation. Throughout the recorded years (2011, 2015, and 2019), there were no reported cases of motor vehicle theft. This steady state of zero incidents per 1,000 residents and 0.0% contribution to state figures indicates a remarkably safe environment for vehicle owners.
Arson cases present an interesting trend. In 2011, there were 3 reported arson incidents, a surprisingly high number for a small city, representing about 5.89 cases per 1,000 residents and 0.62% of the state's total. However, this figure dropped to zero in both 2015 and 2019, marking a 100% decrease. This dramatic improvement suggests either successful intervention strategies or the resolution of specific issues that may have led to the initial spike.
Examining correlations, we observe a strong inverse relationship between property crime rates and median income. As the median income rose from $41,052 in 2013 to $83,116 in 2022, property crime rates declined to zero. Similarly, there's a positive correlation between home ownership rates and reduced crime. The percentage of owner-occupied homes increased from 72% in 2013 to 89% in 2022, coinciding with the elimination of reported property crimes.
Applying predictive models based on these trends, we can forecast that property crime rates in Holyrood are likely to remain at or near zero for the next five years (until 2029). The consistent zero-crime reports in recent years, coupled with rising incomes and home ownership rates, support this projection.
In conclusion, Holyrood has demonstrated a remarkable transformation in its property crime landscape. The complete elimination of reported property crimes since 2015, against a backdrop of population growth and economic improvement, highlights the city's success in creating a safe living environment. These trends, if maintained, position Holyrood as an exemplar of small-town safety and community well-being.
